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MO Bejaia vs Amal Bou Saada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
49' Event
Sahed A.
56' Event

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2020/2021 game between MO Bejaia and Amal Bou Saada finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MO Bejaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
MO Bejaia
20%
Draws
28%
Amal Bou Saada
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MO Bejaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • MO Bejaia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • MO Bejaia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
MO Bejaia Clean Sheet 68%
Amal Bou Saada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MO Bejaia Amal Bou Saada
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 9 2
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 1.41 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2021 Ligue 2
MO Bejaia vs Amal Bou Saada
5:1
Apr 8, 2021 Ligue 2
Amal Bou Saada vs MO Bejaia
0:1
Oct 19, 2019 Ligue 2
Amal Bou Saada vs MO Bejaia
1:0
Feb 9, 2018 Ligue 2
Amal Bou Saada vs MO Bejaia
1:0
Sep 22, 2017 Ligue 2
MO Bejaia vs Amal Bou Saada
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MO Bejaia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sahed A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kasdi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Amal Bou Saada Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MO Bejaia 95 / 100
Amal Bou Saada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MO Bejaia Amal Bou Saada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MO Bejaia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amal Bou Saada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: MO Bejaia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

MO Bejaia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

MO Bejaia VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MO Bejaia

(Home)
26 Sept
Beni Thour
1 : 3
MO Bejaia
18 Sept
MO Bejaia
0 : 0
MO Constantine
09 May
MO Bejaia
0 : 0
Beni Oulbane
02 May
Annaba
0 : 1
MO Bejaia
21 Apr
MO Bejaia
1 : 0
Khroub
Page 1 of 6

Amal Bou Saada

(Away)
11 Dec
Amal Bou Saada
0 : 1
Hussein Dey
06 Dec
Beni Oulbane
0 : 1
Amal Bou Saada
25 Nov
Amal Bou Saada
1 : 2
US Souf
26 Jun
MO Bejaia
5 : 1
Amal Bou Saada
19 Jun
Amal Bou Saada
1 : 0
Msila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelghoum 22 12 7 3 32:18 43
2 Annaba 22 11 8 3 24:8 41
3 US Chaouia 22 10 8 4 35:21 38
4 Khenchela 22 10 8 4 27:20 38
5 Telaghema 22 10 4 8 27:18 34
6 MO Constantine 22 9 6 7 27:28 33
7 CA Batna 22 9 5 8 22:19 32
8 Eulma 22 8 6 8 23:24 30
9 Khroub 22 5 7 10 20:31 22
10 Ouled Djellal 22 5 5 12 24:29 20
11 MSP Batna 22 5 2 15 20:36 17
12 Tadjenant 22 4 2 16 24:53 14
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oued Sly 22 15 5 2 36:13 50
2 CR Temouchent 22 14 4 4 31:14 46
3 ASM Oran 22 12 6 4 30:17 42
4 JSM Tiaret 22 11 6 5 38:23 39
5 Saida 22 9 4 9 30:28 31
6 Ain Ouessara 22 7 6 9 30:33 27
7 El Khemis 22 8 3 11 15:21 27
8 SC Ain Defla 22 6 7 9 25:35 25
9 RC Oued Rhiou 22 6 5 11 16:29 23
10 Remchi 22 6 4 12 24:33 22
11 El Kerma 22 4 9 9 26:32 21
12 OM Arzew 22 2 5 15 21:44 11
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arba 22 12 5 5 30:15 41
2 Bejaia 22 12 5 5 29:22 41
3 MO Bejaia 22 10 8 4 22:11 38
4 RC Kouba 22 8 9 5 24:21 33
5 Widad Adabi de Boufarik 22 8 9 5 22:22 33
6 Harrach 22 8 7 7 19:22 31
7 ES Ben Aknoun 22 7 10 5 22:14 31
8 Beni Thour 22 8 5 9 28:26 29
9 Lakhdaria 22 7 8 7 18:16 29
10 Amal Bou Saada 22 8 2 12 26:35 26
11 Msila 22 5 2 15 20:34 17
12 USM Blida 22 2 4 16 13:35 10
Promotion - Ligue 2 2020/2021 (Promotion)