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Moca vs Guyana Defence Force - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CFU Club Shield 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Parra Y.

AI Match Summary

The CFU Club Shield 2025 game between Moca and Guyana Defence Force finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Moca
20%
Draws
29%
Guyana Defence Force
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moca come out ahead of Guyana Defence Force on wins alone.
  • Moca are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Moca Clean Sheet 17%
Guyana Defence Force Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moca Guyana Defence Force
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 9 1
Draws 10 1
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2025 CFU Club Shield
Moca vs Guyana Defence Force
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moca Compare

Top Goalscorer Parra Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Guyana Defence Force Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moca 48 / 100
Guyana Defence Force 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moca Guyana Defence Force

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guyana Defence Force has conceded goals in 80% of their last 5 outings.

Moca scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Moca stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Guyana Defence Force lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moca VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moca

(Home)
04 Oct
Salcedo
1 : 0
Moca
26 Sept
Vega Real
1 : 0
Moca
23 Sept
Moca
1 : 1
Delfines Del Este
19 Sept
Atlantico FC
2 : 3
Moca
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
Page 1 of 6

Guyana Defence Force

(Away)
28 Jul
Moca
1 : 0
Guyana Defence Force
26 Jul
St. Pauls United
0 : 2
Guyana Defence Force
26 Jul
Grenades
6 : 2
Guyana Defence Force
17 Apr
Guyana Defence Force
2 : 2
SAP
16 Apr
W Connection
7 : 1
Guyana Defence Force

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academy Eagles 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Academia Quintana 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
3 La Clery 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
4 Real Rincon 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
5 AS Capoise 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
6 Rovers 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - CFU Club Shield 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moca 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Paradise 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
3 Britannia 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Guyana Defence Force 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
5 Etoile Matoury 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
6 St. Pauls United 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - CFU Club Shield 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Weymouth Wales 2 2 0 0 11:1 6
2 SV Transvaal 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
3 All Saints United 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Police 2 1 0 1 7:4 3
5 SCSA Eagles 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
6 Wolues 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - CFU Club Shield 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 AC Port Of Spain 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Arnett Gardens 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
4 Dublanc FC 2 1 0 1 2:5 3
5 Scholars International 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
6 Docs United 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - CFU Club Shield 2025 (Play Offs)