Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Modbury Jets vs Cumberland United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Scott T.

AI Match Summary

Cumberland United in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumberland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Modbury Jets
30%
Draws
34%
Cumberland United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cumberland United have won more games recently than Modbury Jets.
  • Win probability leans Modbury Jets's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cumberland United have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 14%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modbury Jets Cumberland United
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Cumberland United
0:1
Sep 19, 2020 NPL South Australia
Modbury Jets vs Cumberland United
1:2
Jul 18, 2020 NPL South Australia
Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets
3:0
Sep 14, 2019 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Cumberland United
1:3
Jul 13, 2019 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs Cumberland United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modbury Jets Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Scott T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modbury Jets 35 / 100
Cumberland United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modbury Jets Cumberland United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumberland United has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Modbury Jets's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Modbury Jets went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modbury Jets VS Cumberland United
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Modbury Jets

(Home)
18 Jul
Salisbury United
2 : 3
Modbury Jets
13 Jul
Blue Eagles
3 : 1
Modbury Jets
07 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
03 Jul
Eastern United
0 : 0
Modbury Jets
27 Jun
Modbury Jets
4 : 1
Adelaide Olympic
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Cumberland United

(Away)
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
16 Jul
Fulham United
1 : 3
Cumberland United
04 Jul
Cumberland United
1 : 2
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
26 Jun
Eastern United
0 : 1
Cumberland United
20 Jun
Cumberland United
5 : 1
South Adelaide
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders18121549:2337
2Adelaide Olympic18111633:2334
3Fulham United18103538:2733
4Modbury Jets1895434:1832
5Blue Eagles1894531:2531
6Adelaide Atletico1893633:2530
7Cumberland United1891832:2428
8The Cove FC1875626:2626
9Adelaide Cobras18521121:3717
10Eastern United18441018:3616
11South Adelaide18331219:4912
12Salisbury United18321321:4211
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)