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Modbury Jets vs The Cove FC

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
McCabe H.
22' Event
Lachlan W.
25' Event
McCabe H.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Modbury Jets and The Cove FC finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modbury Jets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Modbury Jets
30%
Draws
34%
The Cove FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Modbury Jets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Modbury Jets haven't matched The Cove FC's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Modbury Jets taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Modbury Jets Clean Sheet 20%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modbury Jets The Cove FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Modbury Jets
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 SA State League
Modbury Jets vs The Cove FC
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modbury Jets Compare

Top Goalscorer McCabe H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lachlan W.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

The Cove FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modbury Jets 36 / 100
The Cove FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modbury Jets The Cove FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modbury Jets scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: The Cove FC conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Modbury Jets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modbury Jets VS The Cove FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711