Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Modena vs Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B 2024/2025 Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Adorni D.
25' Event
Cauz C.
Own Goal
28' Event
Caso G.
Assist: Di Pardo A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2024/2025 game between Modena and Brescia finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Modena
30%
Draws
31%
Brescia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Brescia haven't matched Modena's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Modena's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Modena Clean Sheet 68%
Brescia Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Brescia
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 15
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.45 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 Serie B
Modena vs Brescia
2:2
Dec 26, 2024 Serie B
Brescia vs Modena
3:3
Jan 13, 2024 Serie B
Modena vs Brescia
1:2
Oct 24, 2023 Serie B
Brescia vs Modena
0:1
Feb 11, 2023 Serie B
Brescia vs Modena
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Caso G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Di Pardo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Brescia Compare

Top Goalscorer Calvani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 59 / 100
Brescia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modena found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Brescia has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Modena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
20 Sept
Modena
2 : 1
Empoli
12 Sept
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Modena
06 Sept
Modena
0 : 1
Avellino
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Benevento
1 : 2
Modena
Page 1 of 6

Brescia

(Away)
13 May
Brescia
2 : 1
Reggiana
09 May
Modena
2 : 2
Brescia
04 May
Brescia
0 : 0
Juve Stabia
01 May
Cittadella
0 : 1
Brescia
25 Apr
Brescia
1 : 2
Pisa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo 38 25 7 6 78:38 82
2 Pisa 38 23 7 8 64:36 76
3 Spezia 38 17 15 6 59:33 66
4 Cremonese 38 16 13 9 62:44 61
5 Juve Stabia 38 14 13 11 42:41 55
6 Catanzaro 38 11 20 7 51:45 53
7 Cesena 38 14 11 13 46:47 53
8 Palermo 38 14 10 14 52:43 52
9 Bari 38 10 18 10 41:40 48
10 Sudtirol 38 12 10 16 50:57 46
11 Modena 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
12 Carrarese 38 11 12 15 39:49 45
13 Reggiana 38 11 11 16 42:52 44
14 Mantova 38 10 14 14 47:56 44
15 Frosinone 38 9 16 13 37:50 43
16 Salernitana 38 11 9 18 37:47 42
17 Sampdoria 38 8 17 13 38:49 41
18 Brescia 38 9 16 13 42:48 39
19 Cittadella 38 10 9 19 30:56 39
20 Cosenza 38 7 13 18 32:56 30
Promotion - Serie A 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2024/2025 (Play Out)