Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Modena vs Carrarese

Italy Italy

Serie B 2025/2026 Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Beyuku G.
33' Event
Massolin Y.
Assist: De Luca M.
46'
Sub
Beyuku G. In: Zanimacchia L.
Out: Beyuku G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Modena and Carrarese finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Modena
6%
Draws
4%
Carrarese
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Carrarese haven't matched Modena's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Modena taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Modena Clean Sheet 18%
Carrarese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modena Carrarese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Serie B
Modena vs Carrarese
2:0
Oct 1, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Modena
0:0
May 4, 2025 Serie B
Carrarese vs Modena
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Serie B
Modena vs Carrarese
2:0
Mar 12, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Carrarese vs Modena
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Massolin Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Defrel G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Carrarese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modena 85 / 100
Carrarese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modena Carrarese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Modena's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Carrarese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Carrarese lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modena VS Carrarese
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Modena

(Home)
28 Jul
Cagliari
1 : 0
Modena
25 Jul
Modena
5 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 May
Modena
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
08 May
Avellino
1 : 0
Modena
01 May
Modena
2 : 1
Reggiana
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Carrarese

(Away)
26 Jul
Napoli
2 : 0
Carrarese
08 May
Entella
2 : 1
Carrarese
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0
Cesena
25 Apr
Frosinone
3 : 0
Carrarese
19 Apr
Carrarese
2 : 2
Pescara
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Venezia382410477:3182
2Frosinone382312376:3481
3Monza382210661:3276
4Palermo382012661:3372
5Catanzaro381514962:5159
6Modena3815101349:3655
7Juve Stabia381118944:4551
8Avellino3813101543:5549
9Mantova381371845:5746
10Padova3812101639:4946
11Cesena3812101645:5646
12Carrarese3810141447:5244
13Sampdoria3811111635:4844
14Entella3810121636:5142
15Empoli389141547:5441
16Sudtirol388171338:4841
17Bari3810101838:6040
18Reggiana389101936:5637
19Spezia388111943:5935
20Pescara387141751:6635
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)