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Modrica vs Leotar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - RS 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Soskic P.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Soskic P.

AI Match Summary

Modrica in this Prva Liga - RS 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modrica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Modrica
20%
Draws
52%
Leotar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leotar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Leotar have won more games recently than Modrica.
  • Leotar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Modrica Clean Sheet 15%
Leotar Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modrica Leotar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.17 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2024 Prva Liga - RS
Modrica vs Leotar
2:0
Oct 22, 2023 Prva Liga - RS
Leotar vs Modrica
5:3
May 8, 2021 Prva Liga - RS
Leotar vs Modrica
2:0
Oct 24, 2020 Prva Liga - RS
Modrica vs Leotar
1:1
Mar 20, 2010 WWIN Liga BiH
Leotar vs Modrica
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Modrica Compare

Top Goalscorer Soskic P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Leotar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modrica 10 / 100
Leotar 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modrica Leotar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leotar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Modrica found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Modrica remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Leotar conceded in 38% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leotar
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Modrica

(Home)
01 Jun
Sutjeska Foca
2 : 0
Modrica
25 May
Modrica
2 : 0
Omarska
18 May
Famos Vojkovici
1 : 1
Modrica
15 May
Modrica
2 : 0
BSK Banja Luka
11 May
Laktasi
3 : 0
Modrica
Page 1 of 6

Leotar

(Away)
03 Oct
Leotar
6 : 0
Majevica
26 Sept
Potkozarje
1 : 1
Leotar
22 Sept
Leotar
3 : 0
Famos Vojkovici
19 Sept
Zvijezda 09
1 : 4
Leotar
16 Sept
Leotar
2 : 0
Sutjeska Foca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Radnik Bijeljina 34 21 11 2 63:19 74
2 Laktasi 34 21 4 9 71:30 67
3 Rudar Prijedor 34 16 11 7 59:28 59
4 Leotar 34 17 3 14 46:45 54
5 Zeljeznicar Banja Luka 34 16 4 14 53:43 52
6 Famos Vojkovici 34 15 6 13 48:45 51
7 Kozara 34 13 8 13 52:52 47
8 Mrkonjic Grad 34 13 6 15 44:45 45
9 Slavija 34 13 6 15 41:44 45
10 Sutjeska Foca 34 13 6 15 36:47 45
11 Ljubic Prnjavor 34 14 3 17 38:52 45
12 Nevesinje 34 14 3 17 50:65 45
13 BSK Banja Luka 34 13 5 16 52:46 44
14 Zvornik 34 11 11 12 38:37 44
15 Kozarska Dubica 34 12 7 15 44:57 43
16 Romanija Pale 34 13 4 17 38:58 43
17 Modrica 34 11 6 17 37:57 39
18 Omarska 34 6 4 24 32:72 22
Promotion - WWIN Liga BiH 2024/2025 (Main)