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Modum vs Lommedalen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2015 game between Modum and Lommedalen finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lommedalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Modum
15%
Draws
42%
Lommedalen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Lommedalen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lommedalen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Modum Clean Sheet 10%
Lommedalen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modum Lommedalen
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.53 2.44
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 3.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Lommedalen
1:4
Apr 25, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Modum
0:0
Sep 27, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Modum
3:3
Jun 7, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Lommedalen
2:4
Aug 12, 2013 Division 3 - Group 4
Lommedalen vs Modum
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modum 10 / 100
Lommedalen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modum Lommedalen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lommedalen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lommedalen has conceded goals in 81% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Modum's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Lommedalen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Modum VS Lommedalen
0 Goals Scored 1.38
6 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Modum

(Home)
23 Aug
Modum
0 : 6
Stromsgodset
24 Oct
Sandefjord 2
2 : 4
Modum
17 Oct
Modum
0 : 4
Vestfossen
10 Oct
Modum
2 : 0
Skarphedin
03 Oct
Tonsberg
4 : 1
Modum
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Lommedalen

(Away)
18 Apr
Lommedalen
0 : 2
Skeid
22 Oct
Lyn
3 : 1
Lommedalen
15 Oct
Lommedalen
1 : 2
Manglerud Star
08 Oct
Lommedalen
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Oslo
03 Oct
Strommen 2
0 : 4
Lommedalen
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