Sport Picks

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Modum vs Skarphedin

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Modum in this Division 3 - Group 4 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Modum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Modum
15%
Draws
42%
Skarphedin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Modum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Modum average 1.53 goals a game right now, well clear of Skarphedin's 1.35.
  • Modum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Modum Clean Sheet 10%
Skarphedin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Modum Skarphedin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.53 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.2 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 3.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Skarphedin
2:0
Jun 20, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Skarphedin vs Modum
0:0
Sep 6, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Modum vs Skarphedin
7:1
May 24, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Skarphedin vs Modum
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Modum 83 / 100
Skarphedin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Modum Skarphedin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Modum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Skarphedin conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Modum's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Skarphedin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Modum VS Skarphedin
0 Goals Scored 1.63
6 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Modum

(Home)
23 Aug
Modum
0 : 6
Stromsgodset
24 Oct
Sandefjord 2
2 : 4
Modum
17 Oct
Modum
0 : 4
Vestfossen
10 Oct
Modum
2 : 0
Skarphedin
03 Oct
Tonsberg
4 : 1
Modum
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Skarphedin

(Away)
18 Apr
Skarphedin
0 : 9
Odds BK
22 Oct
Notodden 2
0 : 3
Skarphedin
15 Oct
Skarphedin
3 : 2
Vigor
01 Oct
Madla IL
4 : 1
Skarphedin
24 Sept
Skarphedin
0 : 1
IL Express
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