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Moelven vs Lillehammer

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lillehammer in this Division 3 - Group 3 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillehammer.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Moelven
15%
Draws
57%
Lillehammer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillehammer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lillehammer have won more games recently than Moelven.
  • Win probability leans Lillehammer's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lillehammer have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Moelven Clean Sheet 10%
Lillehammer Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moelven Lillehammer
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.53 2.91
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.87
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2015 Division 3 - Group 9
Lillehammer vs Moelven
6:0
Apr 11, 2015 Division 3 - Group 9
Moelven vs Lillehammer
2:0
Oct 18, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Moelven vs Lillehammer
0:2
Jun 28, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Lillehammer vs Moelven
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moelven 10 / 100
Lillehammer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moelven Lillehammer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillehammer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moelven's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Lillehammer conceded in 78% of 32 recent games.

Away concern: Lillehammer has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lillehammer
0 Goals Scored 4.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Moelven

(Home)
24 Oct
Moelven
1 : 0
Buvik
17 Oct
Gjovik-Lyn 2
5 : 2
Moelven
10 Oct
Moelven
1 : 3
Flisa
03 Oct
Tynset
3 : 0
Moelven
26 Sept
Moelven
2 : 4
FK Kvik
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Lillehammer

(Away)
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
05 Sept
Lillehammer
3 : 0
Raelingen
30 Aug
Elverum
4 : 3
Lillehammer
22 Aug
Lillehammer
2 : 4
Strommen
17 Aug
Lillehammer
4 : 1
Lyn 2
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