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MOFA vs MCF

Kenya Kenya

Super League
MOFA Logo

MOFA

3 - 0
FT
MCF Logo

MCF

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between MOFA and MCF finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
MOFA
35%
Draws
41%
MCF
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: MCF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • MCF haven't matched MOFA's recent run of results.
  • Model gives MOFA a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and MOFA have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
MOFA Clean Sheet 68%
MCF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOFA MCF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 13 8
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Super League
MOFA vs MCF
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
MCF vs MOFA
1:0
May 4, 2025 Super League
MCF vs MOFA
2:3
Dec 15, 2024 Super League
MOFA vs MCF
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOFA 51 / 100
MCF 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOFA MCF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: MOFA scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: MCF conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

MOFA has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MOFA VS MCF
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MOFA

(Home)
13 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kabati
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
24 May
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
MOFA
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MCF

(Away)
13 Jun
MCF
0 : 3
Fortune Sacco
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MCF
2 : 0
Mwatate United
27 May
Migori
2 : 1
MCF
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
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