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Mogadishu City vs Jeenyo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Mogadishu City and Jeenyo finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mogadishu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Mogadishu City
20%
Draws
58%
Jeenyo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jeenyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mogadishu City come out ahead of Jeenyo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Jeenyo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mogadishu City here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 16%
Jeenyo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Jeenyo
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 10
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.74 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jeenyo
5:2
Feb 14, 2026 National league
Jeenyo vs Mogadishu City
0:1
May 7, 2025 National league
Mogadishu City vs Jeenyo
2:1
Jan 23, 2025 National league
Jeenyo vs Mogadishu City
0:2
Jun 19, 2024 National league
Jeenyo vs Mogadishu City
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 10 / 100
Jeenyo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Jeenyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jeenyo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Jeenyo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Mogadishu City has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Jeenyo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
12 Sept
Kitara
2 : 0
Mogadishu City
06 Sept
Mogadishu City
1 : 2
Kitara
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
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Jeenyo

(Away)
12 Aug
Jeenyo
6 : 0
Jazeera
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
20 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Raadsan
16 Jul
Jeenyo
0 : 0
Heegan
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)