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AI Match Summary
Mogadishu City in this CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Madani lately — more wins on the board than Mogadishu City.
- Win probability leans Madani's way, sitting at 60%.
- Madani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Mogadishu City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mogadishu City | Madani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 20 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mogadishu City Compare
Madani Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mogadishu City's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Madani has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Mogadishu City has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mogadishu City
(Home)Madani
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singida Black Stars | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Police FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 |
| 4 | Garde-Cotes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:11 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APR | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Kinondoni MC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Mlandege | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Bumamuru | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:6 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 5 |
| 2 | Mogadishu City | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 3 | Madani | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Kator | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | 2 |