Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mogadishu City vs Madani

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Gomaa K.
36' Event
Khamis I.
90' Event
Abatari I.

AI Match Summary

Mogadishu City in this CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Mogadishu City
20%
Draws
58%
Madani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Madani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Madani lately — more wins on the board than Mogadishu City.
  • Win probability leans Madani's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Madani arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mogadishu City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mogadishu City Clean Sheet 23%
Madani Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogadishu City Madani
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.66 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2025 CECAFA Kagame Cup
Mogadishu City vs Madani
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mogadishu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamis I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abatari I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Madani Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomaa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogadishu City 21 / 100
Madani 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogadishu City Madani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogadishu City's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Madani has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Mogadishu City has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mogadishu City VS Madani
2 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogadishu City

(Home)
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
06 Aug
Gantaalaha Afgooye
2 : 4
Mogadishu City
31 Jul
Jamus
2 : 1
Mogadishu City
28 Jul
Mogadishu City
1 : 4
Singida Black Stars
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Madani

(Away)
09 Jun
Hilal Alsahil
2 : 2
Madani
05 Jun
Madani
3 : 1
Umm Mughad
02 Jun
Al-Hilal Omdurman II
2 : 0
Madani
29 May
Madani
3 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
24 May
Madani
2 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singida Black Stars 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Police FC 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 3 1 1 1 6:2 4
4 Garde-Cotes 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Kinondoni MC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Mlandege 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Bumamuru 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
2 Mogadishu City 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Madani 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Kator 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup 2025 (Play Offs)