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Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly Amman

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Al Arsa A.
59' Event
Moutari A.
82' Event
Al Arsa A.

AI Match Summary

Al Faisaly Amman in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Faisaly Amman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Moghayer Al Sarhan
15%
Draws
65%
Al Faisaly Amman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Faisaly Amman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Al Faisaly Amman have won more games recently than Moghayer Al Sarhan.
  • Model gives Al Faisaly Amman a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Faisaly Amman here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 20%
Al Faisaly Amman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moghayer Al Sarhan Al Faisaly Amman
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 5 26
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.87 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Premier League
Al Faisaly Amman vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
3:0
Dec 24, 2024 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly Amman
1:3
Dec 6, 2024 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Al Faisaly Amman
1:4
Sep 7, 2024 Shield Cup
Al Faisaly Amman vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
3:0
May 10, 2024 Premier League
Al Faisaly Amman vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moghayer Al Sarhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Harahshe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Al Faisaly Amman Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Arsa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Moutari A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moghayer Al Sarhan 10 / 100
Al Faisaly Amman 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moghayer Al Sarhan Al Faisaly Amman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Faisaly Amman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Moghayer Al Sarhan scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Al Faisaly Amman has conceded goals in 59% of their last 39 outings.

Recent resilience: Moghayer Al Sarhan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Faisaly Amman
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Moghayer Al Sarhan

(Home)
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7
Al Karmal
02 May
Al Faisaly Amman
3 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
26 Apr
Al Salt
1 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
22 Apr
Al Wehdat
3 : 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1
Maan
Page 1 of 6

Al Faisaly Amman

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Buqaa
0 : 4
Al Faisaly Amman
16 Sept
Al Rayyan
4 : 3
Al Faisaly Amman
11 Sept
Al Faisaly Amman
2 : 0
Doqarah
04 Sept
Al Wehdat
0 : 0
Al Faisaly Amman
28 Aug
Al Faisaly Amman
2 : 1
Al Hussein
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 22 16 5 1 53:15 53
2 Al Wehdat 22 16 4 2 47:18 52
3 Al Faisaly Amman 22 9 12 1 30:16 39
4 Al Ramtha 22 9 6 7 26:23 33
5 Al Salt 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
6 Al Jazeera Amman 22 8 6 8 33:29 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 5 10 24:32 26
8 Shabab Al Ordon 22 7 4 11 28:33 25
9 Al Sareeh 22 4 9 9 26:33 21
10 Aqaba 22 5 5 12 23:47 20
11 Maan 22 5 3 14 20:39 18
12 Moghayer Al Sarhan 22 3 4 15 16:44 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Qualification)