Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Khdour A.
62' Event
Freitakh M.
90' Event
Saeed M.

AI Match Summary

Aqaba in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aqaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Moghayer Al Sarhan
15%
Draws
59%
Aqaba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aqaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Aqaba have won more games recently than Moghayer Al Sarhan.
  • Win probability leans Aqaba's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 16%
Aqaba Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moghayer Al Sarhan Aqaba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba
1:2
Aug 23, 2024 Premier League
Aqaba vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
0:1
Mar 28, 2024 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba
1:2
Aug 25, 2023 Premier League
Aqaba vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
2:4
May 25, 2023 Shield Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moghayer Al Sarhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Freitakh M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Aqaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Khdour A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saeed M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moghayer Al Sarhan 19 / 100
Aqaba 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moghayer Al Sarhan Aqaba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aqaba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aqaba let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Moghayer Al Sarhan scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Moghayer Al Sarhan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moghayer Al Sarhan VS Aqaba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moghayer Al Sarhan

(Home)
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7
Al Karmal
02 May
Al Faisaly Amman
3 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
26 Apr
Al Salt
1 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
22 Apr
Al Wehdat
3 : 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1
Maan
Page 1 of 6

Aqaba

(Away)
08 Nov
Aqaba
0 : 2
Al Jazeera Amman
20 Oct
Aqaba
2 : 1
Umm Al Qutain
01 May
Aqaba
1 : 1
Al Jazeera Amman
26 Apr
Al Hussein
6 : 0
Aqaba
17 Apr
Shabab Al Ordon
1 : 3
Aqaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 22 16 5 1 53:15 53
2 Al Wehdat 22 16 4 2 47:18 52
3 Al Faisaly Amman 22 9 12 1 30:16 39
4 Al Ramtha 22 9 6 7 26:23 33
5 Al Salt 22 9 5 8 24:21 32
6 Al Jazeera Amman 22 8 6 8 33:29 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 5 10 24:32 26
8 Shabab Al Ordon 22 7 4 11 28:33 25
9 Al Sareeh 22 4 9 9 26:33 21
10 Aqaba 22 5 5 12 23:47 20
11 Maan 22 5 3 14 20:39 18
12 Moghayer Al Sarhan 22 3 4 15 16:44 13
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2025/2026 (Qualification)