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Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab

Jordan Jordan

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Kabeer A. A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Moghayer Al Sarhan and Sahab finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sahab.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Moghayer Al Sarhan
15%
Draws
0%
Sahab
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moghayer Al Sarhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sahab carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Moghayer Al Sarhan's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 68%
Sahab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moghayer Al Sarhan Sahab
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.84 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
4:2
May 1, 2024 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
0:1
Nov 3, 2023 Premier League
Sahab vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
1:1
Jul 2, 2023 Shield Cup
Sahab vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
0:1
Sep 8, 2022 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moghayer Al Sarhan Compare

Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Sahab Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabeer A. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moghayer Al Sarhan 59 / 100
Sahab 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moghayer Al Sarhan Sahab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moghayer Al Sarhan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sahab lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sahab has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Moghayer Al Sarhan scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Moghayer Al Sarhan VS Sahab
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 7
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Moghayer Al Sarhan

(Home)
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7
Al Karmal
02 May
Al-Faisaly Amman
3 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
26 Apr
Al Salt
1 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
22 Apr
Al Wehdat
3 : 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1
Maan
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Sahab

(Away)
20 Oct
Al Salt
10 : 1
Sahab
14 Dec
Moghayer Al Sarhan
4 : 2
Sahab
18 Jun
Al Salt
2 : 1
Sahab
25 May
Sahab
1 : 2
Al Hussein
19 May
Al Wehdat
6 : 2
Sahab
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hussein 22 19 2 1 45:6 59
2 Al-Faisaly Amman 22 18 3 1 63:14 57
3 Al Wehdat 22 14 6 2 38:14 48
4 Al Ramtha 22 11 2 9 30:22 35
5 Al Salt 22 9 1 12 25:27 28
6 Maan 22 7 5 10 22:30 26
7 Aqaba 22 6 7 9 19:38 25
8 Shabab Al Ordon 22 7 1 14 21:36 22
9 Moghayer Al Sarhan 22 6 3 13 21:38 21
10 Al Ahli 22 5 5 12 17:32 20
11 Sahab 22 4 6 12 22:42 18
12 Al Jalil 22 1 9 12 11:35 12
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Qualification)