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Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup 2024/2025
Moghayer Al Sarhan Logo

Moghayer Al Sarhan

4 - 2
FT
Sahab Logo

Sahab

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Tannous Q.
51' Event
Hamadi M.
54' Event
Ghosh Abu Q.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-2, with Moghayer Al Sarhan advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Moghayer Al Sarhan
15%
Draws
0%
Sahab
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Moghayer Al Sarhan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sahab come out ahead of Moghayer Al Sarhan on wins alone.
  • Moghayer Al Sarhan are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Sahab arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sahab, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 68%
Sahab Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moghayer Al Sarhan Sahab
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.84 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2024 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
4:2
May 1, 2024 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
0:1
Nov 3, 2023 Premier League
Sahab vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
1:1
Jul 2, 2023 Shield Cup
Sahab vs Moghayer Al Sarhan
0:1
Sep 8, 2022 Premier League
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sahab
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moghayer Al Sarhan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghosh Abu Q.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tannous Q.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Sahab Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamadi M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moghayer Al Sarhan 59 / 100
Sahab 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moghayer Al Sarhan Sahab

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moghayer Al Sarhan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sahab lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Sahab let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Moghayer Al Sarhan scored in 50% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Moghayer Al Sarhan VS Sahab
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 7
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Moghayer Al Sarhan

(Home)
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7
Al Karmal
02 May
Al-Faisaly Amman
3 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
26 Apr
Al Salt
1 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
22 Apr
Al Wehdat
3 : 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1
Maan
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Sahab

(Away)
20 Oct
Al Salt
10 : 1
Sahab
14 Dec
Moghayer Al Sarhan
4 : 2
Sahab
18 Jun
Al Salt
2 : 1
Sahab
25 May
Sahab
1 : 2
Al Hussein
19 May
Al Wehdat
6 : 2
Sahab
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Ramtha 1
Al Jazeera Amman 0
Al Ahli 2
Shabab Al Ordon 1
Al Wehdat 5
Maan 1
Sama Al Sarhan 2
Al Sareeh 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan 4
Sahab 2
Aqaba 0
Al-Faisaly Amman 5
Al Jalil 1
Al Salt 4
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 0
Al Hussein 2
Quarter-finals
Al Ramtha 1
Al Ahli 2
Al Wehdat 3
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1
Al-Faisaly Amman 3
Al Salt 1
Al Hussein 2
Semi-finals
Al Ahli 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al-Faisaly Amman 0
Al Hussein 1
Final
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 0