Sport Picks
Match Events
77'
77'
Barqawi B.
90'
90'
Hashhash A. S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Moghayer Al Sarhan in this Jordan Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sama
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Moghayer Al Sarhan lately — more wins on the board than Sama.
- Model gives Sama a 57% chance of winning this.
- Moghayer Al Sarhan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Moghayer Al Sarhan, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 17%
Sama Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moghayer Al Sarhan | Sama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 7 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 19 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.91 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 28, 2023 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sama
1:0
Aug 18, 2022 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sama
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moghayer Al Sarhan Compare
Top Goalscorer Barqawi B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Sama Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moghayer Al Sarhan 20 / 100
Sama 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moghayer Al Sarhan Sama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sama has conceded goals in 71% of their last 7 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Away concern: Sama has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Moghayer Al Sarhan found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).
Scoring Trends
Moghayer Al Sarhan VS Sama
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 10
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Moghayer Al Sarhan
(Home) 17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7 Al Karmal
02 May
Al-Faisaly Amman
3 : 0 Moghayer Al Sarhan
26 Apr
Al Salt
1 : 0 Moghayer Al Sarhan
22 Apr
Al Wehdat
3 : 1 Moghayer Al Sarhan
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1 Maan
Page 1 of 7
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7 Al Karmal
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1 Maan
03 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 1 Al Sareeh
07 Mar
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 1 Al Jazeera Amman
22 Feb
Moghayer Al Sarhan
1 : 2 Aqaba
Page 1 of 4
Sama
(Away) 20 Oct
Al Hussein
10 : 1 Sama
28 Sept
Moghayer Al Sarhan
1 : 0 Sama
25 Aug
Sama
1 : 0 Al Karmal
18 Aug
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 0 Sama
31 Jul
Hartha
0 : 3 Sama
Page 1 of 2
20 Oct
Al Hussein
10 : 1 Sama
28 Sept
Moghayer Al Sarhan
1 : 0 Sama
18 Aug
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 0 Sama
31 Jul
Hartha
0 : 3 Sama
11 Aug
Ittihad Al Ramtha
1 : 0 Sama
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Al Buqaa -
TBD -
Saham 2
Ghor Al-Safi 1
Al Jalil -
TBD -
TBD -
Amman -
Al Sareeh -
TBD -
That Ras 0
Umm Al Qotain 7
Moghayer Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Hartha 0
Sama 3
Aqaba -
TBD -
TBD -
Balama -
Ittihad Al Ramtha -
TBD -
Ittihad Jerash 2
Al Yarmouk 1
Al Hussein -
TBD -
TBD -
Kfarsoum -
Maan -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) -
Shabab Al Ordon -
TBD -
Shabab Nazzal 1
Al Taibah 0
Al Jazeera Amman -
TBD -
Rabaa Serhan 1
El Alia 0
Al Salt -
TBD -
Al Hashemeya 0
Al Khaledeya 1
Al Ramtha -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Ahli -
Al Wehdat -
TBD -
Al Husn 4
Shabab Hwarah 3
Sama Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Al Karmal 0
Deir Alla 1
Sahab -
TBD -
Mansheyat 0
Al Wehda 9
Al-Faisaly Amman -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Tora -
1/16-finals
Al Buqaa 2
Saham 1
Al Jalil 0
Amman 4
Al Sareeh 3
Umm Al Qotain 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan 2
Sama 0
Aqaba 3
Balama 1
Ittihad Al Ramtha 3
Ittihad Jerash 1
Al Hussein 6
Kfarsoum 0
Maan 0
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 1
Shabab Al Ordon 3
Shabab Nazzal 0
Al Jazeera Amman 6
Rabaa Serhan 0
Al Salt 3
Al Khaledeya 1
Al Ramtha 2
Al Ahli 0
Al Wehdat 5
Al Husn 0
Sama Al Sarhan 3
Deir Alla 2
Sahab 1
Al Wehda 0
Al-Faisaly Amman 6
Al Tora 0
1/8-finals
Al Buqaa 0
Amman 1
Al Sareeh 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan 2
Aqaba 1
Ittihad Al Ramtha 0
Al Hussein 3
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 1
Shabab Al Ordon 0
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Al Salt 1
Al Ramtha 3
Al Wehdat 4
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Sahab 0
Al-Faisaly Amman 3
Quarter-finals
Amman 2
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1
Aqaba 1
Al Hussein 0
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Al Ramtha 4
Al Wehdat 2
Al-Faisaly Amman 1
Semi-finals
Amman 0
Aqaba 3
Al Ramtha 0
Al Wehdat 1
Final
Aqaba 0
Al Wehdat 1
