Sport Picks

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Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sama

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup 2023/2024
Moghayer Al Sarhan Logo

Moghayer Al Sarhan

Thu, Sep 28, 2023
1 - 0
02:00 PM
Sama Logo

Sama

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Penalty Missed
1' Event
(Penalty)
2' Event
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moghayer Al Sarhan in this Jordan Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Moghayer Al Sarhan
15%
Draws
57%
Sama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Moghayer Al Sarhan have won more games recently than Sama.
  • Sama are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Moghayer Al Sarhan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Moghayer Al Sarhan, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Moghayer Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 17%
Sama Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moghayer Al Sarhan Sama
Matches Played 32 7
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 19 5
Goals Scored 0.91 1
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2023 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sama
1:0
Aug 18, 2022 Jordan Cup
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Sama
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moghayer Al Sarhan 20 / 100
Sama 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moghayer Al Sarhan Sama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 7 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Away concern: Sama has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Moghayer Al Sarhan scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moghayer Al Sarhan VS Sama
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 10
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Moghayer Al Sarhan

(Home)
17 Oct
Moghayer Al Sarhan
0 : 7
Al Karmal
02 May
Al-Faisaly Amman
3 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
26 Apr
Al Salt
1 : 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
22 Apr
Al Wehdat
3 : 1
Moghayer Al Sarhan
18 Apr
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 1
Maan
Page 1 of 7

Sama

(Away)
20 Oct
Al Hussein
10 : 1
Sama
28 Sept
Moghayer Al Sarhan
1 : 0
Sama
25 Aug
Sama
1 : 0
Al Karmal
18 Aug
Moghayer Al Sarhan
2 : 0
Sama
31 Jul
Hartha
0 : 3
Sama
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shabab Al Ordon -
TBD -
Der Abi Saeed -
Al Tora -
Al Sareeh -
TBD -
Kfarsoum 0
Al Taibah 1
Al Ahli -
TBD -
TBD -
El Alia -
Maan -
TBD -
TBD -
Ittihad Al Ramtha -
Al Ramtha -
TBD -
Wadi Al Rayyan 2
Rabaa Serhan 1
Sama Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Al Khaledeya 1
Umm Al Qotain 2
Moghayer Al Sarhan -
TBD -
Sama 1
Al Karmal 0
Al Wehdat -
TBD -
Ittihad Jerash 2
Saham 1
Al Hussein -
TBD -
TBD -
Amman -
Al Hashemeya -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Yarmouk -
Al Jalil -
TBD -
Balama 1
Doqarah 4
Aqaba -
TBD -
Al Wehda 4
Shabab Hwarah 2
Al Salt -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) -
Al Jazeera Amman -
TBD -
Ghor Al-Safi 0
Marj Al Hamam 1
Sahab -
TBD -
TBD -
Al Buqaa -
Al-Faisaly Amman -
TBD -
Hartha 1
Al Husn 0
1/16-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 3
Der Abi Saeed 1
Al Sareeh 2
Al Taibah 0
Al Ahli 2
El Alia 0
Maan 2
Ittihad Al Ramtha 0
Al Ramtha 6
Wadi Al Rayyan 0
Sama Al Sarhan 1
Umm Al Qotain 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1
Sama 0
Al Wehdat 2
Ittihad Jerash 0
Al Hussein 2
Amman 1
Al Hashemeya 0
Al Yarmouk 1
Al Jalil 3
Doqarah 2
Aqaba 3
Al Wehda 0
Al Salt 2
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan) 1
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Marj Al Hamam 0
Sahab 1
Al Buqaa 0
Al-Faisaly Amman 8
Hartha 0
1/8-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 1
Al Sareeh 0
Al Ahli 0
Maan 1
Al Ramtha 4
Sama Al Sarhan 0
Moghayer Al Sarhan 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 4
Al Yarmouk 0
Al Jalil 0
Aqaba 1
Al Salt 2
Al Jazeera Amman 1
Sahab 1
Al-Faisaly Amman 0
Quarter-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 2
Maan 1
Al Ramtha 1
Al Wehdat 3
Al Hussein 4
Aqaba 1
Al Salt 2
Sahab 1
Semi-finals
Shabab Al Ordon 0
Al Wehdat 1
Al Hussein 2
Al Salt 1
Final
Al Wehdat 2
Al Hussein 1