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Moghreb Tetouan vs USM Oujda

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 Stade Saniat Rmel, Tetouan
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 game between Moghreb Tetouan and USM Oujda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moghreb Tetouan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Moghreb Tetouan
30%
Draws
27%
USM Oujda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moghreb Tetouan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moghreb Tetouan come out ahead of USM Oujda on wins alone.
  • Moghreb Tetouan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Moghreb Tetouan Clean Sheet 68%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moghreb Tetouan USM Oujda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.66 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Botola 2
Moghreb Tetouan vs USM Oujda
2:0
Nov 23, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Moghreb Tetouan
3:0
Mar 6, 2022 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Moghreb Tetouan
2:1
Oct 31, 2021 Botola 2
Moghreb Tetouan vs USM Oujda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moghreb Tetouan 68 / 100
USM Oujda 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moghreb Tetouan USM Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moghreb Tetouan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moghreb Tetouan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Moghreb Tetouan scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

USM Oujda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Moghreb Tetouan VS USM Oujda
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moghreb Tetouan

(Home)
05 Jul
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 0
Stade Marocain
27 Jun
RAC Casablanca
0 : 2
Moghreb Tetouan
20 Jun
Moghreb Tetouan
3 : 1
Amal Tiznit
13 Jun
Chabab Benguerir
0 : 0
Moghreb Tetouan
06 Jun
Moghreb Tetouan
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
Page 1 of 6

USM Oujda

(Away)
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
06 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
2 : 1
USM Oujda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)