Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista B

Catanduvense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mogi Mirim play Catanduvense in the Paulista B. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mogi Mirim averaged 0.73 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Catanduvense averaged 0.9 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. In past meetings, Mogi Mirim won 3, Catanduvense won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 7, 2026 ended 0:6. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Mogi Mirim and 1.06 for Catanduvense. This points to a Mogi Mirim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%

Mogi Mirim

19%

Draws

28%

Catanduvense

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Mogi Mirim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence

Mogi Mirim picked up more points recently compared to Catanduvense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 22%

Catanduvense Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mogi Mirim	Catanduvense
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	7
Draws	6	4
Losses	18	19
Goals Scored	0.73	0.9
Goals Conceded	1.33	3.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	4.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Paulista B

Catanduvense vs Mogi Mirim

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

0:6

May 2, 2026 Paulista B

Mogi Mirim vs Catanduvense

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Jan 22, 2012 Paulista

Catanduvense vs Mogi Mirim

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Mar 9, 2008 Paulista A2

Catanduvense vs Mogi Mirim

Possession: 51% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mogi Mirim Compare

Top Goalscorer David

1 Goals

Assists Leader Stefanelo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Catanduvense Compare

Top Goalscorer Kimura L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogi Mirim 52 / 100

Catanduvense 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mogi Mirim Catanduvense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mogi Mirim Win (1)

Secondary Pick Mogi Mirim & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.7%

2.22

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mogi Mirim attacking → ← attacking Catanduvense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mogi Mirim scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Catanduvense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Mogi Mirim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Catanduvense lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 25

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jose Bonifacio EC	10	6	4	0	17:6	22
2	America SP	10	5	4	1	13:7	19
3	Assisense	10	3	5	2	17:15	14
4	Tupa	10	4	1	5	14:16	13
5	Riopretano	10	1	4	5	9:16	7
6	Santa Fe SP	10	2	0	8	10:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente SP	10	8	0	2	37:7	24
2	Matonense	10	7	1	2	28:10	22
3	Sao Carlos	10	4	3	3	19:11	15
4	Santacruzense	10	4	2	4	19:13	14
5	Mogi Mirim	10	4	0	6	15:15	12
6	Catanduvense	10	0	0	10	4:66	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo SP	10	7	2	1	13:6	23
2	Paulinense	10	5	0	5	9:16	15
3	Audax-SP	10	5	1	4	15:9	13
4	Paulinia FU	10	3	1	6	11:14	10
5	Votoraty SP	10	2	1	7	12:19	7
6	Guarulhos	10	5	1	4	19:15	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Itaqua	10	8	1	1	21:6	25
2	Maua FC	10	4	4	2	20:15	16
3	Uniao Mogi	10	5	2	3	14:13	14
4	Manthiqueira	10	4	2	4	17:17	14
5	Mauaense	10	3	3	4	10:10	12
6	Barcelona SP	10	0	0	10	5:26	0