Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
da Silva K.
30'
30'
Matheus
31'
31'
Helder
AI Match Summary
Matonense in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matonense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mogi Mirim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Matonense lately — more wins on the board than Mogi Mirim.
- Model gives Matonense a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Matonense have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 10%
Matonense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mogi Mirim | Matonense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Matonense vs Mogi Mirim
2:1
May 16, 2026 Paulista B
Mogi Mirim vs Matonense
1:3
Feb 28, 2018 Paulista A3
Mogi Mirim vs Matonense
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mogi Mirim Compare
Top Goalscorer Lucowicz Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Matonense Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mogi Mirim 10 / 100
Matonense 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mogi Mirim Matonense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matonense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Matonense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Solid form: Mogi Mirim remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Mogi Mirim found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
Mogi Mirim VS Matonense
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Mogi Mirim
(Home) 20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
16 May
Mogi Mirim
1 : 3 Matonense
02 May
Mogi Mirim
2 : 1 Catanduvense
25 Apr
Mogi Mirim
0 : 1 Independente SP
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Matonense
(Away) 18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1 Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
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18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1 Matonense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13 Matonense
31 May
Santacruzense
1 : 2 Matonense
16 May
Mogi Mirim
1 : 3 Matonense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
