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Mogi Mirim vs Sao-Carlense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2021 game between Mogi Mirim and Sao-Carlense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao-Carlense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Mogi Mirim
30%
Draws
28%
Sao-Carlense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mogi Mirim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sao-Carlense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sao-Carlense have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 20%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mogi Mirim Sao-Carlense
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 13
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.73 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Mogi Mirim
3:0
May 22, 2023 Paulista A4
Mogi Mirim vs Sao-Carlense
0:2
Sep 26, 2021 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Mogi Mirim
1:1
Sep 5, 2021 Paulista A4
Mogi Mirim vs Sao-Carlense
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mogi Mirim 31 / 100
Sao-Carlense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mogi Mirim Sao-Carlense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mogi Mirim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao-Carlense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Mogi Mirim went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mogi Mirim scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Mogi Mirim VS Sao-Carlense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mogi Mirim

(Home)
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1
Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6
Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1
Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1
Sao Carlos
Page 1 of 6

Sao-Carlense

(Away)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Matonense 10 7 2 1 13:5 23
2 Taquaritinga 10 5 2 3 15:8 17
3 Catanduva FC 10 4 3 3 12:11 15
4 Inter de Bebedouro 10 4 3 3 15:9 15
5 Fernandopolis 10 1 4 5 13:20 7
6 America SP 10 1 2 7 8:23 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 XV de Jau 10 7 2 1 12:7 23
2 Gremio Prudente 10 5 2 3 15:10 17
3 Vocem 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
4 Assisense 10 4 1 5 9:11 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 3 5 7:8 9
6 Osvaldo Cruz 10 1 2 7 7:17 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
2 Independente SP 10 5 3 2 12:9 18
3 Sao-Carlense 10 4 5 1 12:6 17
4 Sao Carlos 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
5 Itapirense 10 1 3 6 5:12 6
6 Mogi Mirim 10 1 3 6 3:11 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 8 2 0 18:5 26
2 Paulista 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
3 Colorado Caieiras 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
4 Mauaense 10 3 2 5 14:22 11
5 Guarulhos 10 2 3 5 14:21 9
6 Barcelona SP 10 1 3 6 13:21 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Suzano 10 8 2 0 24:3 26
2 Maua FC 10 6 3 1 23:9 21
3 Uniao Mogi 10 4 1 5 15:10 13
4 ECUS SP 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
5 Manthiqueira 10 3 3 4 13:12 12
6 Atletico Mogi 10 0 0 10 6:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2021 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams