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Mohacsi vs III. Keruleti TVE

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mohacsi play III. Keruleti TVE in the Hungarian Cup 2024/2025. III. Keruleti TVE are favorites here. Recently, Mohacsi averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. III. Keruleti TVE averaged 2.48 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, Mohacsi won 0, III. Keruleti TVE won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 24, 2024 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Mohacsi and 3.00 for III. Keruleti TVE. This points to a III. Keruleti TVE double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Mohacsi
23%
Draws
57%
III. Keruleti TVE
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: III. Keruleti TVE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Mohacsi picked up more points recently compared to III. Keruleti TVE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 3.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Mohacsi Clean Sheet 10%
III. Keruleti TVE Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohacsi III. Keruleti TVE
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0.97 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 Hungarian Cup
Mohacsi vs III. Keruleti TVE
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohacsi 20 / 100
III. Keruleti TVE 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohacsi III. Keruleti TVE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick III. Keruleti TVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick III. Keruleti TVE & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mohacsi attacking → ← attacking III. Keruleti TVE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohacsi scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

III. Keruleti TVE let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mohacsi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

III. Keruleti TVE lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 66
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88