Sport Picks

India

Durand Cup

Mohammedan

4 - 0

Baghpat

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Molla F.

73'

Lalremsanga

80'

Dewan I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Mohammedan

15%

Draws

21%

Baghpat

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Mohammedan lately — more wins on the board than Baghpat.
Mohammedan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Mohammedan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Mohammedan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Mohammedan Clean Sheet 20%

Baghpat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mohammedan	Baghpat
Matches Played	32	12
Wins	10	6
Draws	7	2
Losses	15	4
Goals Scored	1.31	2
Goals Conceded	1.69	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Durand Cup

Mohammedan vs Baghpat

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalremsanga

2 Goals

Assists Leader Molla F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

Baghpat Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 85 / 100

Baghpat 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mohammedan Baghpat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mohammedan found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Baghpat has conceded goals in 67% of their last 12 outings.

Mohammedan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS Baghpat

2.25 Goals Scored 0.25

1 Goals Conceded 3.25

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)

11 Sept

Mohammedan

2 : 0

Bhawanipore

04 Sept

Peerless

2 : 0

Mohammedan

31 Aug

Kalighat SL

1 : 2

Mohammedan

28 Aug

Coal India

2 : 0

Mohammedan

25 Aug

Measures Club

2 : 3

Mohammedan

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Baghpat

(Away)

05 Aug

Army Red

4 : 0

Baghpat

30 Jul

Samaleswari SC

4 : 1

Baghpat

27 Jul

Mohammedan

4 : 0

Baghpat

24 May

Sunrise Club

1 : 0

Baghpat

22 May

Baghpat

4 : 2

Chhaygaon

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