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Mohammedan vs Indian Navy

India India

Durand Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Lalhlansanga D.
68' Event
Lalremsanga
90' Event
Britto P.

AI Match Summary

Mohammedan in this Durand Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mohammedan
15%
Draws
34%
Indian Navy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohammedan lately — more wins on the board than Indian Navy.
  • Win probability leans Mohammedan's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Mohammedan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mohammedan, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mohammedan here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 17%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohammedan Indian Navy
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.32 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2024 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs Indian Navy
1:0
Aug 11, 2023 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs Indian Navy
2:1
Aug 10, 2019 Durand Cup
Mohammedan vs Indian Navy
6:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Lalhlansanga D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lalremsanga
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Indian Navy Compare

Top Goalscorer Britto P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohammedan 41 / 100
Indian Navy 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohammedan Indian Navy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indian Navy has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Mohammedan scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Mohammedan has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mohammedan VS Indian Navy
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 33%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohammedan

(Home)
12 Aug
Mohammedan
1 : 2
Army Red
08 Aug
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Calcutta Police
02 Aug
Mohammedan
2 : 3
Samaleswari SC
30 Jul
Mohammedan
2 : 0
Suruchi Sangha
27 Jul
Mohammedan
4 : 0
Baghpat
Page 1 of 7

Indian Navy

(Away)
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1
Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0
Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1
Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2
Indian Navy
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Mohun Bagan 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Bangladesh Army 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Minerva Punjab 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mumbai City 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Mohammedan 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 0 2 1:11 3
4 Indian Navy 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gokulam 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
2 Bengaluru FC 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Kerala Blasters 3 1 1 1 10:6 4
4 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 North East United 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
3 Lajong 3 1 0 2 2:11 3
4 Downtown Heroes 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chennaiyin FC 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Hyderabad 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Delhi FC 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Rajasthan United 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Bodoland FC 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Odisha FC 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams