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Mohelnice vs HFK Olomouc

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Olomoucky KP 2025/2026
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Mohelnice host HFK Olomouc in the Olomoucky KP 2025/2026. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. HFK Olomouc have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Mohelnice have conceded 2 and scored 2.25. Head-to-head, Mohelnice have won 3 to HFK Olomouc's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.75, favoring HFK Olomouc. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mohelnice
6%
Draws
90%
HFK Olomouc
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: HFK Olomouc

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • HFK Olomouc has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mohelnice.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for HFK Olomouc.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Olomoucky KP 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Mohelnice Clean Sheet 10%
HFK Olomouc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohelnice HFK Olomouc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.25 3.5
Goals Conceded 2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 3.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Olomoucky KP
HFK Olomouc vs Mohelnice
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Olomoucky KP
Mohelnice vs HFK Olomouc
1:0
Jun 2, 2018 3. MSFL
HFK Olomouc vs Mohelnice
2:1
Oct 28, 2017 3. MSFL
Mohelnice vs HFK Olomouc
6:1
Apr 29, 2017 3. MSFL
Mohelnice vs HFK Olomouc
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohelnice 10 / 100
HFK Olomouc 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohelnice HFK Olomouc

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HFK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohelnice scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

HFK Olomouc let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Mohelnice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

HFK Olomouc lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohelnice VS HFK Olomouc
2.25 Goals Scored 3.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%