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Mohun Bagan U23 vs Calcutta Customs

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Rounak P.

AI Match Summary

Calcutta Customs in this Calcutta Premier Division 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calcutta Customs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mohun Bagan U23
30%
Draws
19%
Calcutta Customs
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan U23 lately — more wins on the board than Calcutta Customs.
  • Model gives Mohun Bagan U23 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Calcutta Customs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan U23 Calcutta Customs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.03 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
Calcutta Customs vs Mohun Bagan U23
1:0
Aug 27, 2025 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Calcutta Customs
0:1
Sep 11, 2021 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Calcutta Customs
0:0
Aug 14, 2019 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Calcutta Customs
1:1
Sep 12, 2018 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Calcutta Customs
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Calcutta Customs Compare

Top Goalscorer Rounak P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan U23 84 / 100
Calcutta Customs 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan U23 Calcutta Customs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan U23 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Mohun Bagan U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Calcutta Customs's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Calcutta Customs's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan U23 VS Calcutta Customs
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan U23

(Home)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
10 Sept
Coal India
1 : 5
Mohun Bagan U23
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
01 Sept
BSS Sporting
0 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
Page 1 of 6

Calcutta Customs

(Away)
27 Sept
Calcutta Customs
0 : 7
Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
02 Sept
George Telegrapher
0 : 6
Calcutta Customs
30 Aug
Calcutta Customs
0 : 2
East Bengal
26 Aug
Calcutta Customs
2 : 2
United Kolkata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 11 7 2 2 30:10 23
2 Suruchi Sangha 11 6 4 1 24:8 22
3 Calcutta Customs 11 6 4 1 18:10 22
4 Police AC 11 6 3 2 21:8 21
5 Mohun Bagan U23 11 5 2 4 21:14 17
6 Patha Chakra 11 5 1 5 12:16 16
7 BSS Sporting 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
8 Kalighat SL 11 4 1 6 7:14 13
9 George Telegrapher 11 3 2 6 13:20 11
10 Measures Club 11 3 1 7 9:23 10
11 Kalighat Milan Sangha 11 2 3 6 9:16 9
12 Railway FC 11 1 3 7 4:20 6
13 Army Red 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division 2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United SC 12 8 3 1 18:6 27
2 Diamond Harbour 12 7 4 1 16:5 25
3 United Kolkata 12 7 3 2 21:7 24
4 Bhawanipore 12 6 4 2 21:7 22
5 Peerless 12 5 6 1 14:6 21
6 Rainbow SC 12 5 5 2 22:9 20
7 Sribhumi FC 12 4 6 2 19:15 18
8 Kidderpore SC 12 5 1 6 18:26 16
9 Wari 12 4 1 7 10:26 13
10 Aryan 12 4 0 8 9:18 12
11 Mohammedan 12 3 2 7 14:19 11
12 Calcutta Police 12 1 1 10 8:28 4
13 Southern Samity 12 0 2 10 10:28 2
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division 2025 (Relegation Group)