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Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Calcutta Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Nassiri K.
65' Event
Bhat S. A.
90' Event
Banerjee S.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan U23 in this Calcutta Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mohun Bagan U23
30%
Draws
19%
Patha Chakra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mohun Bagan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mohun Bagan U23 lately — more wins on the board than Patha Chakra.
  • Win probability leans Mohun Bagan U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Calcutta Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mohun Bagan U23 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Mohun Bagan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Patha Chakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan U23 Patha Chakra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2.03 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra
4:0
Aug 30, 2025 Calcutta Premier Division
Patha Chakra vs Mohun Bagan U23
2:5
Jul 5, 2023 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra
3:1
Aug 4, 2018 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra
1:0
Aug 21, 2017 Calcutta Premier Division
Mohun Bagan U23 vs Patha Chakra
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nassiri K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bhat S. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Patha Chakra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan U23 95 / 100
Patha Chakra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan U23 Patha Chakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohun Bagan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Mohun Bagan U23 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Mohun Bagan U23 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Patha Chakra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan U23 VS Patha Chakra
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan U23

(Home)
19 Sept
Mohun Bagan U23
3 : 2
Mohammedan
14 Sept
United SC
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
10 Sept
Coal India
1 : 5
Mohun Bagan U23
07 Sept
East Bengal
1 : 1
Mohun Bagan U23
01 Sept
BSS Sporting
0 : 3
Mohun Bagan U23
Page 1 of 6

Patha Chakra

(Away)
29 Aug
Patha Chakra
0 : 2
Bhawanipore
26 Aug
Patha Chakra
3 : 1
BSS Sporting
22 Aug
Kidderpore SC
0 : 0
Patha Chakra
18 Aug
Patha Chakra
2 : 6
Railway FC
06 Aug
Kalighat Milan Sangha
6 : 1
Patha Chakra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 11 8 3 0 27:7 27
2 Bhawanipore 11 8 3 0 21:5 27
3 Mohun Bagan U23 11 7 2 2 26:6 23
4 Calcutta Customs 11 5 3 3 24:12 18
5 United Kolkata 11 4 4 3 22:16 16
6 Kalighat Milan Sangha 11 4 2 5 18:13 14
7 Railway FC 11 4 2 5 20:20 14
8 Kidderpore SC 11 2 6 3 15:18 12
9 BSS Sporting 11 3 3 5 17:21 12
10 Patha Chakra 11 3 1 7 12:32 10
11 George Telegrapher 11 2 1 8 7:33 7
12 Bidhannagar Municipal SA 11 0 2 9 5:31 2
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coal India 11 6 4 1 18:7 22
2 Mohammedan 11 6 3 2 18:12 21
3 United SC 11 6 2 3 24:9 20
4 Peerless 11 6 2 3 20:9 20
5 Aryan 11 5 4 2 18:6 19
6 Calcutta Police 11 5 3 3 13:11 18
7 Police AC 11 4 5 2 13:11 17
8 Measures Club 11 3 6 2 21:17 15
9 Suruchi Sangha 11 2 3 6 11:20 9
10 Rainbow SC 11 2 1 8 13:31 7
11 Wari 11 1 4 6 9:28 7
12 Kalighat SL 11 0 3 8 4:21 3
Promotion - Calcutta Premier Division (Championship Group)
Relegation - Calcutta Premier Division (Relegation Group)