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Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC

India India

ISL Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Maclaren J.
Assist: Bose S.
16'
Petratos D.
17'
Vanlalruatfela I.

AI Match Summary

Mohun Bagan in this ISL matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mohun Bagan
6%
Draws
4%
Odisha FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mohun Bagan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Odisha FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Mohun Bagan.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in ISL provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 68%
Odisha FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Odisha FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC
5:1
Feb 23, 2025 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 ISL
Odisha FC vs Mohun Bagan
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs Odisha FC
2:0
Apr 23, 2024 ISL
Odisha FC vs Mohun Bagan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Maclaren J.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Odisha FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 95 / 100
Odisha FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Odisha FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Odisha FC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Odisha FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Odisha FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal1375130:1126
2Mohun Bagan1375123:926
3Mumbai City1374217:925
4Bengaluru FC1365218:1223
5Jamshedpur1364315:1022
6Minerva Punjab1364318:1222
7FC Goa1355315:1120
8Kerala Blasters1352615:1717
9North East United1344516:2116
10Inter Kashi1334611:1713
11Odisha FC1325614:2211
12SC Delhi1325613:1711
13Chennaiyin FC132389:219
14Mohammedan1303107:323