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Mohun Bagan vs Real Kashmir

India India

Super Cup Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda), Margao
Tue, Oct 28, 2025
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Real Kashmir have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Mohun Bagan have conceded 0.61 and scored 2.18. Head-to-head, Mohun Bagan have won 2 to Real Kashmir's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 28, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.19, favoring Mohun Bagan. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mohun Bagan
15%
Draws
46%
Real Kashmir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Kashmir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Mohun Bagan have won more games recently than Real Kashmir.
  • Win probability leans Mohun Bagan's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Mohun Bagan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Kashmir, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 20%
Real Kashmir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan Real Kashmir
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 18 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.18 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Super Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Real Kashmir
0:0
Apr 4, 2020 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Real Kashmir
0:0
Jan 5, 2020 I-League
Real Kashmir vs Mohun Bagan
0:2
Aug 21, 2019 Durand Cup
Mohun Bagan vs Real Kashmir
3:1
Jan 6, 2019 I-League
Mohun Bagan vs Real Kashmir
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 36 / 100
Real Kashmir 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan Real Kashmir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Real Kashmir let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mohun Bagan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS Real Kashmir
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
20 Aug
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
North East United
Page 1 of 6

Real Kashmir

(Away)
11 May
Aizawl FC
1 : 2
Real Kashmir
04 May
Real Kashmir
0 : 3
Namdhari
30 Apr
Real Kashmir
3 : 0
Gokulam
19 Apr
Real Kashmir
2 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
12 Apr
Real Kashmir
6 : 2
Gokulam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
2 Mohun Bagan 3 1 2 0 2:0 5
3 Dempo 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Chennaiyin FC 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Goa 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
2 North East United 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
3 Jamshedpur 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Inter Kashi 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minerva Punjab 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Bengaluru FC 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
3 Gokulam 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Mohammedan 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mumbai City 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
2 Kerala Blasters 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Rajasthan United 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 SC Delhi 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - Super Cup (Play Offs)