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Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

ISL 2025/2026 Vivekananda Yuba Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata
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Match Events

52'
Mohammed M.
56'
Sub
Aimen M. In: Murgaokar D.
Out: Aimen M.
56'
Sub
Sourav K. In: Sanatomba Singh Y.
Out: Sourav K.

AI Match Summary

The ISL 2025/2026 game between Mohun Bagan and SC Delhi finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mohun Bagan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Mohun Bagan
15%
Draws
46%
SC Delhi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SC Delhi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mohun Bagan come out ahead of SC Delhi on wins alone.
  • Model gives SC Delhi a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular ISL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mohun Bagan Clean Sheet 11%
SC Delhi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mohun Bagan SC Delhi
Matches Played 29 22
Wins 19 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 ISL
Mohun Bagan vs SC Delhi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mohun Bagan Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maclaren J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

SC Delhi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mohun Bagan 14 / 100
SC Delhi 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mohun Bagan SC Delhi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Delhi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mohun Bagan scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: SC Delhi conceded in 77% of 22 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mohun Bagan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mohun Bagan VS SC Delhi
2.75 Goals Scored 2.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mohun Bagan

(Home)
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
04 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
Minerva Punjab
29 Sept
Mohun Bagan
1 : 1
North East United
23 Sept
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
23 Aug
East Bengal
4 : 1
Mohun Bagan
Page 1 of 6

SC Delhi

(Away)
19 Aug
SC Delhi
0 : 1
East Bengal
16 Aug
SC Delhi
5 : 1
Raengdai
10 Aug
SC Delhi
7 : 1
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
07 Aug
SC Delhi
7 : 0
Defenders FC
04 Aug
Jamshedpur
1 : 2
SC Delhi
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 13 7 5 1 30:11 26
2 Mohun Bagan 13 7 5 1 23:9 26
3 Mumbai City 13 7 4 2 17:9 25
4 Bengaluru FC 13 6 5 2 18:12 23
5 Jamshedpur 13 6 4 3 15:10 22
6 Minerva Punjab 13 6 4 3 18:12 22
7 FC Goa 13 5 5 3 15:11 20
8 Kerala Blasters 13 5 2 6 15:17 17
9 North East United 13 4 4 5 16:21 16
10 Inter Kashi 13 3 4 6 11:17 13
11 Odisha FC 13 2 5 6 14:22 11
12 SC Delhi 13 2 5 6 13:17 11
13 Chennaiyin FC 13 2 3 8 9:21 9
14 Mohammedan 13 0 3 10 7:32 3
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