Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa 2024/2025

MOIK Baku

2 - 2

Lokbatan

Our Tip

Match Events

Abdullayev A.

43'

Aliyev I.

45'

Abdullayev A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa 2024/2025 game between MOIK Baku and Lokbatan finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

MOIK Baku

Draws

Lokbatan

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MOIK Baku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and MOIK Baku come out ahead of Lokbatan on wins alone.
MOIK Baku are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 68%

Lokbatan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	MOIK Baku	Lokbatan
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	10	6
Draws	8	8
Losses	15	16
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.25	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2025 I Liqa

Lokbatan vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 42% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Mar 6, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Lokbatan

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:2

Dec 11, 2024 I Liqa

Lokbatan vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Apr 25, 2024 I Liqa

Lokbatan vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Feb 21, 2024 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Lokbatan

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Qurbanly N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Lokbatan Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullayev A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 95 / 100

Lokbatan 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

MOIK Baku Lokbatan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Lokbatan let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Lokbatan has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS Lokbatan

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gabala	27	21	4	2	56:8	67
2	Imisli FK	27	15	7	5	43:20	52
3	Karvan	27	13	8	6	53:37	47
4	Mingachevir	27	9	8	10	30:36	35
5	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	10	9	35:34	34
6	MOIK Baku	27	8	6	13	29:43	30
7	Cebrayil	27	8	5	14	26:34	29
8	Baku Sporting	27	7	7	13	21:43	28
9	Difai Agsu	27	7	5	15	36:54	26
10	Lokbatan	27	5	8	14	27:47	23