Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MOIK Baku vs Safa Baku

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Aliyev N.
83' Event
Mardanov Z.

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between MOIK Baku and Safa Baku finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Safa Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
MOIK Baku
39%
Draws
30%
Safa Baku
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Safa Baku come out ahead of MOIK Baku on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 16%
Safa Baku Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOIK Baku Safa Baku
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 I Liqa
Safa Baku vs MOIK Baku
3:0
Dec 25, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Safa Baku
0:2
Oct 2, 2025 I Liqa
Safa Baku vs MOIK Baku
4:1
May 3, 2005 Premier League
Safa Baku vs MOIK Baku
0:3
Dec 4, 2004 Premier League
MOIK Baku vs Safa Baku
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MOIK Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Safa Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Aliyev N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mardanov Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 31 / 100
Safa Baku 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOIK Baku Safa Baku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: MOIK Baku scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Safa Baku's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

MOIK Baku has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS Safa Baku
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

MOIK Baku

(Home)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 7

Safa Baku

(Away)
22 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 1
Safa Baku
15 May
Safa Baku
1 : 0
Cebrayil
06 May
Difai Agsu
0 : 0
Safa Baku
29 Apr
Safa Baku
0 : 0
Shimal
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Safa Baku27169252:2157
2Mingachevir27156655:2751
3Sabail27148546:2150
4Baku Sporting271310440:2349
5Sahdag Qusar27127836:2743
6MOIK Baku27961233:4033
7Zaqatala PFK27841527:4428
8Cebrayil27731740:5624
9Shimal27551723:6120
10Difai Agsu27461728:6018
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)