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Moimenta da Beira vs Sousense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Moimenta da Beira
20%
Draws
16%
Sousense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moimenta da Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Moimenta da Beira haven't matched Sousense's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Moimenta da Beira taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Moimenta da Beira Clean Sheet 68%
Sousense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moimenta da Beira Sousense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.93 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Moimenta da Beira vs Sousense
2:2
Oct 30, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sousense vs Moimenta da Beira
1:1
Dec 7, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Sousense vs Moimenta da Beira
2:1
Sep 14, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Moimenta da Beira vs Sousense
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moimenta da Beira 77 / 100
Sousense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moimenta da Beira Sousense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moimenta da Beira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sousense let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sousense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Moimenta da Beira scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Moimenta da Beira VS Sousense
2 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moimenta da Beira

(Home)
11 Sept
Moimenta da Beira
2 : 3
Cinfaes
14 May
Mortagua FC
0 : 2
Moimenta da Beira
07 May
Moimenta da Beira
0 : 0
CD Gouveia
30 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0
Moimenta da Beira
23 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 0
Moimenta da Beira
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Sousense

(Away)
13 Sept
Sousense
3 : 3
Uniao Lamas
06 Sept
UD Ovarense
2 : 0
Sousense
30 Aug
SC Salgueiros
2 : 1
Sousense
22 Aug
Sousense
0 : 1
Castro Daire
16 Aug
Cinfaes
2 : 0
Sousense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oliveirense 18 10 4 4 26:20 34
2 SC Salgueiros 18 10 4 4 25:10 34
3 Sanjoanense 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Coimbroes 18 8 6 4 22:20 30
5 Cinfaes 18 8 2 8 16:18 26
6 Sousense 18 7 3 8 28:29 24
7 Gondomar 18 5 6 7 21:22 21
8 Estarreja 18 4 6 8 28:31 18
9 FC Cesarense 18 4 5 9 17:22 17
10 Moimenta da Beira 18 2 6 10 12:28 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2016/2017 (Relegation Group)