Sport Picks
Moimenta da Beira vs U. Madeira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
U. Madeira in this Taça de Portugal 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
20%
16%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moimenta da Beira
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Moimenta da Beira have won more games recently than U. Madeira.
- Model gives Moimenta da Beira a 36% chance of winning this.
- Moimenta da Beira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor U. Madeira, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Moimenta da Beira Clean Sheet 20%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moimenta da Beira | U. Madeira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 12 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 2.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.23 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2016 Taça de Portugal
Moimenta da Beira vs U. Madeira
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moimenta da Beira 36 / 100
U. Madeira 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moimenta da Beira U. Madeira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: U. Madeira conceded in 75% of 12 recent games.
Away concern: U. Madeira has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Moimenta da Beira scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
- VS U. Madeira
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Moimenta da Beira
(Home) 11 Sept
Moimenta da Beira
2 : 3 Cinfaes
14 May
Mortagua FC
0 : 2 Moimenta da Beira
07 May
Moimenta da Beira
0 : 0 CD Gouveia
30 Apr
Gondomar
2 : 0 Moimenta da Beira
23 Apr
FC Cesarense
1 : 0 Moimenta da Beira
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Moimenta da Beira
2 : 3 Cinfaes
07 May
Moimenta da Beira
0 : 0 CD Gouveia
15 Apr
Moimenta da Beira
2 : 1 Estarreja
02 Apr
Moimenta da Beira
0 : 1 Agueda
26 Mar
Moimenta da Beira
3 : 4 Mortagua FC
Page 1 of 4
U. Madeira
(Away) 21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3 Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0 U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1 SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2 Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3 Forjaes
Page 1 of 3
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0 U. Madeira
10 Oct
Maria de Fonte
5 : 0 U. Madeira
25 Sept
Oliveira Hospital
5 : 0 U. Madeira
05 Sept
AD Limianos
8 : 1 U. Madeira
07 Nov
FC Cesarense
0 : 1 U. Madeira
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beneditense 2
Sp. Lourel 1
Malveira 1
Santa Iria 2
Leiria 10
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
Portimonense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boavista -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moura AC 2
Beira-Mar Almada 0
TBD -
Aves -
Vitoria Sernache 1
Ac. Fundao 0
FC Felgueiras 1
Camacha 2
Vilaverdense FC 3
Vilar de Perdizes 0
TBD -
Vilafranquense -
Braga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrosas -
TBD -
Sendim 1
AD Oliveirense 8
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lusitano GC -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Varzim -
TBD -
TBD -
Anadia -
Sousense -
TBD -
GD Tourizense 2
Agueda 3
Freamunde -
TBD -
TBD -
Cerva -
GD Joane 1
Barrosas 0
TBD -
Covilha -
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosteirense 3
SL Cartaxo 2
TBD -
Famalicao -
SC Farense 2
Lusitano GC 0
Sao Roque 0
SC Angrense 1
Coimbroes 3
Gondomar 0
Sporting Ideal 0
SC Praiense 2
SB Castelo Branco 8
Naval 0
Alianca de Gandra 0
Santa Eulalia 1
Torre De Moncorvo 2
Aguiar da Beira 1
SC Espinho 0
Cinfaes 4
Trofense 5
CF Canical 0
CD Gouveia 0
Beira Mar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Torreense 1
Mafra 0
SC Mirandela 2
Maria de Fonte 3
Gafetense 1
Sintrense 0
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Estarreja 4
FC Pampilhosa 1
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 1
GD Uniao Torcatense 0
Anadia 1
Gafanha 2
U. Madeira -
TBD -
FC Cesarense 1
Moimenta da Beira 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chaves -
Estoril -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sao Roque -
TBD -
Fazendense 0
Caldas SC 3
Mortagua FC 1
Nogueirense 0
TBD -
CF Os Gavionenses -
Viana Alentejo 3
CDR Quarteirense 0
TBD -
Cova De Piedade -
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Rabo Peixe -
Pinhalnovense 2
Lagoa 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Lusitano VRSA 3
Louletano 0
Casa Pia 2
Fabril do Barreiro 3
Pedras Salgadas 1
GD Braganca 0
SC Salgueiros 2
Sanjoanense 4
Penafiel -
TBD -
Trancoso 0
Oliveirense 2
Penalva do Castelo 3
Academica Coimbra SF 2
Cerva 0
Amarante FC 2
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alcobaca 1
GD Sourense 0
TBD -
Vizela -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sendim -
TBD -
Vinha da Rainha 1
Alcanenense 4
BSAD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CD Gouveia -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
Leixoes -
TBD -
Cruzado Canicense 1
Pedras Rubras 4
Almancilense 1
Amora 0
Cerveira 0
Merelinense 3
FC Barreirense 2
Operario 1
Sousense 0
Valadares Gaia FC 2
GS Loures 2
Vilafranquense 1
FC Flamengos 0
Oriental 4
Aljustrelense 4
Praia Milfontes 1
Redondense 1
Armacenenses 6
Alcains 2
Oleiros 0
Aguia Vimioso 1
AD Limianos 5
Sertanense 1
Marinhense 0
AD Satao 1
Lusitano FCV 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
Real SC 3
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Raimonda 0
Sao Martinho 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima 2
Carapinheirense 0
TBD -
FC Pampilhosa -
Sacavenense 4
Atletico CP 0
TBD -
Olhanense -
Maritimo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AD Fafe -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
1º Dezembro 3
SC Lusitania 2
TBD -
Sp. Lourel -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Benfica -
1/64-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
Beneditense 0
Santa Iria 3
Leiria 3
Portimonense 2
TBD -
Boavista -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
Moura AC 0
Aves 4
Vitoria Sernache 2
Camacha 1
Vilaverdense FC 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga -
TBD -
Barrosas 2
AD Oliveirense 3
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Lusitano GC 0
Santa Clara 3
Varzim 1
Anadia 0
Sousense 1
Agueda 2
Freamunde 5
Cerva 0
GD Joane 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Mosteirense 0
Famalicao 2
SC Farense 2
SC Angrense 0
Coimbroes 2
SC Praiense 5
SB Castelo Branco 3
Santa Eulalia 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Cinfaes 3
Trofense 6
Beira Mar 1
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Torreense 3
Maria de Fonte 0
Gafetense 1
Academico Viseu 3
Estarreja 3
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Porto -
TBD -
Atletico Arcos 0
Gafanha 2
U. Madeira 1
Moimenta da Beira 0
TBD -
Chaves -
Estoril -
TBD -
Sao Roque 0
Caldas SC 3
Mortagua FC 3
CF Os Gavionenses 2
Viana Alentejo 1
Cova De Piedade 2
Gil Vicente 2
CD Rabo Peixe 0
Pinhalnovense 1
Casa Pia 2
Lusitano VRSA 2
Fabril do Barreiro 0
Pedras Salgadas 1
Sanjoanense 6
Penafiel 2
Oliveirense 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Amarante FC 4
Moreirense -
TBD -
Alcobaca 0
Vizela 2
Feirense -
TBD -
Sendim 2
Alcanenense 4
BSAD -
TBD -
CD Gouveia 1
Academica 2
Leixoes 1
Pedras Rubras 0
Almancilense 0
Merelinense 2
FC Barreirense 3
Valadares Gaia FC 0
GS Loures 1
Oriental 2
Aljustrelense 3
Armacenenses 2
Alcains 0
AD Limianos 4
Sertanense 2
Lusitano FCV 1
TBD -
Tondela -
Real SC 3
Sao Martinho 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Fatima 1
FC Pampilhosa 0
Sacavenense 0
Olhanense 1
Maritimo -
TBD -
AD Fafe 2
Naval 3
1º Dezembro 2
Sp. Lourel 0
TBD -
Benfica -
1/32-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Santa Iria 1
Leiria 0
Boavista 2
Pacos Ferreira 2
Aves 1
Vitoria Sernache 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga 3
AD Oliveirense 1
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 2
Varzim 3
Agueda 0
Freamunde 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP 1
Famalicao 0
SC Farense 1
SC Praiense 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
Cinfaes 0
Trofense 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Torreense 2
Academico Viseu 0
Estarreja 1
Nacional 3
FC Porto 3
Gafanha 0
U. Madeira 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 1
Caldas SC 0
Mortagua FC 0
Cova De Piedade 1
Gil Vicente 1
Casa Pia 0
Lusitano VRSA 1
Sanjoanense 2
Penafiel 1
Amarante FC 0
Moreirense 0
Vizela 1
Feirense 2
Alcanenense 1
BSAD 0
Academica 2
Leixoes 3
Merelinense 2
FC Barreirense 0
Oriental 2
Aljustrelense 1
AD Limianos 0
Sertanense 0
Tondela 4
Real SC 1
Arouca 0
Fatima 1
Olhanense 2
Maritimo 4
Naval 0
1º Dezembro 1
Benfica 2
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Boavista 1
Pacos Ferreira 0
Vilafranquense 1
Braga 2
Santa Clara 1
Varzim 0
Covilha 1
Sporting CP 5
SC Praiense 1
SB Castelo Branco 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Torreense 1
Nacional 0
FC Porto 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 2
Cova De Piedade 0
Gil Vicente 0
Sanjoanense 1
Penafiel 1
Vizela 0
Feirense 0
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Oriental 1
Aljustrelense 1
Tondela 2
Real SC 2
Olhanense 0
Maritimo 0
Benfica 6
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vilafranquense 0
Braga 1
Covilha 2
Sporting CP 1
Vitoria Setubal 0
Torreense 2
Chaves 3
Estoril 4
Sanjoanense 2
Penafiel 0
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Tondela 1
Real SC 0
Benfica 3
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Covilha 0
Sporting CP 0
Chaves 1
Estoril 2
Academica 1
Leixoes 2
Benfica 6
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Chaves 3
Estoril 4
Benfica 5
Final
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Benfica 2
