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Moinesti vs Ceahlaul II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2012/2013 game between Moinesti and Ceahlaul II finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moinesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Moinesti
20%
Draws
36%
Ceahlaul II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moinesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Moinesti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Moinesti Clean Sheet 20%
Ceahlaul II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moinesti Ceahlaul II
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 12 9
Draws 1 5
Losses 17 26
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul II vs Moinesti
5:2
Apr 25, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Moinesti vs Ceahlaul II
2:0
Feb 28, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Ceahlaul II vs Moinesti
3:2
Sep 27, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Moinesti vs Ceahlaul II
2:1
Apr 12, 2013 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Moinesti vs Ceahlaul II
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moinesti 32 / 100
Ceahlaul II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moinesti Ceahlaul II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceahlaul II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 40 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Moinesti scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Moinesti has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ceahlaul II
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moinesti

(Home)
16 Jul
Panciu
4 : 0
Moinesti
06 Jun
Moinesti
1 : 0
Bucovina Radauti
30 May
Aerostar
2 : 0
Moinesti
27 May
Moinesti
5 : 0
Sporting Suceava
23 May
Ceahlaul II
5 : 2
Moinesti
Page 1 of 6

Ceahlaul II

(Away)
23 May
Ceahlaul II
0 : 1
Somuz Falticeni
17 May
ACS USV Iasi
3 : 0
Ceahlaul II
09 May
Ceahlaul II
5 : 2
Bucovina Radauti
03 May
Soimii Gura Humorului
1 : 1
Ceahlaul II
25 Apr
Ceahlaul II
1 : 1
CSM Vaslui
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Bacau 22 15 4 3 49:19 49
2 Dorohoi 22 13 3 6 40:16 42
3 Moinesti 22 12 4 6 51:44 40
4 CSM Pascani 22 10 4 8 25:21 34
5 Sporting Suceava 22 10 3 9 31:26 33
6 Otelul 2 22 9 6 7 40:33 33
7 Roman 22 10 2 10 35:30 32
8 Bucovina Radauti 22 10 2 10 23:33 32
9 Aerostar 22 9 2 11 28:35 29
10 Stiinta Miroslava 22 6 6 10 30:34 24
11 Ceahlaul II 22 6 1 15 25:41 19
12 Panciu 22 3 1 18 6:51 8
Promotion - Liga 2/Serie 1 2013/2014 (Main)