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Mokpo vs Busan Kyotong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Park H.
13'
Hong J.
17' Event
Lee Hyun-tak

AI Match Summary

Mokpo in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mokpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mokpo
15%
Draws
26%
Busan Kyotong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mokpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Busan Kyotong lately — more wins on the board than Mokpo.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Mokpo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Busan Kyotong here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mokpo Busan Kyotong
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 16
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Busan Kyotong
3:1
May 9, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Mokpo
3:0
Jul 27, 2025 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Mokpo
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Busan Kyotong
1:3
Oct 4, 2024 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Mokpo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Hyun-tak
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jang Han-young
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Busan Kyotong Compare

Top Goalscorer Park H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mokpo 74 / 100
Busan Kyotong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mokpo Busan Kyotong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mokpo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Mokpo's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Busan Kyotong has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Mokpo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mokpo VS Busan Kyotong
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mokpo

(Home)
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1
Busan Kyotong
13 Sept
Jeonbuk 2
1 : 3
Mokpo
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
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Busan Kyotong

(Away)
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1
Busan Kyotong
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0
Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
10 Ulsan Citizen 24 8 4 12 25:28 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 24 4 8 12 30:46 20
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)