Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Han Jun-young
54' Event
Ahn Kyeong-Chan
82' Event
Seo D.

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mokpo
6%
Draws
90%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dangjin Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dangjin Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Mokpo.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Dangjin Citizen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dangjin Citizen here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 13%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mokpo Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen
1:3
Sep 4, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo
3:1
May 7, 2022 K3 League
Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahn Kyeong-Chan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Han Jun-young
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mokpo 10 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mokpo Dangjin Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mokpo found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Dangjin Citizen let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Mokpo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mokpo VS Dangjin Citizen
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429