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Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Han Jun-young
54' Event
Ahn Kyeong-Chan
82' Event
Seo D.

AI Match Summary

Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Mokpo
15%
Draws
34%
Dangjin Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mokpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dangjin Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Mokpo.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Mokpo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dangjin Citizen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 68%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mokpo Dangjin Citizen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo
6:1
Apr 4, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen
1:3
Sep 4, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Mokpo
3:1
May 7, 2022 K3 League
Mokpo vs Dangjin Citizen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahn Kyeong-Chan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dangjin Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Han Jun-young
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mokpo 50 / 100
Dangjin Citizen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mokpo Dangjin Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mokpo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dangjin Citizen conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Mokpo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mokpo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mokpo VS Dangjin Citizen
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mokpo

(Home)
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1
Busan Kyotong
13 Sept
Jeonbuk 2
1 : 3
Mokpo
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

Dangjin Citizen

(Away)
04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3
Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)