Sport Picks
Mold Alexandra vs Caersws FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru North 
Match Events
45'
45'
Humphreys J.
51'
51'
Williams M.
Own Goal
67'
67'
Cordiner O.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru North game between Mold Alexandra and Caersws FC finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Caersws FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Mold Alexandra taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 13%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mold Alexandra | Caersws FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Caersws FC
2:2
Dec 26, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Caersws FC
0:2
Aug 9, 2025 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Mold Alexandra
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Caersws FC
2:2
Sep 7, 2024 Cymru North
Caersws FC vs Mold Alexandra
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mold Alexandra Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordiner O.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Caersws FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Humphreys J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hesden R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mold Alexandra 40 / 100
Caersws FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mold Alexandra Caersws FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mold Alexandra found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Caersws FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Mold Alexandra stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mold Alexandra VS Caersws FC
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mold Alexandra
(Home) 03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2 Newtown
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4 Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5 Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2 Newtown
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Bangor 1876
21 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Buckley
15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Holyhead
Page 1 of 4
Caersws FC
(Away) 03 Oct
Caersws FC
3 : 3 Bala
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5 Caersws FC
12 Sept
Caersws FC
0 : 2 Brickfield Rangers
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
31 Aug
Caersws FC
2 : 0 Buckley
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 5 Caersws FC
04 Sept
Ruthin Town
0 : 3 Caersws FC
28 Aug
Porthmadog
1 : 3 Caersws FC
15 Aug
Rhyl
4 : 2 Caersws FC
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Caersws FC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Newtown | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18:3 | 22 |
| 3 | Mold Alexandra | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Bala | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 6 | Caersws FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21:14 | 17 |
| 7 | Bangor 1876 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 23:18 | 16 |
| 8 | Guilsfield | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:12 | 16 |
| 9 | Buckley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 22:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Llanuwchllyn | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 11 | Rhyl | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 9 |
| 12 | Ruthin Town | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:20 | 8 |
| 13 | Denbigh | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:23 | 7 |
| 14 | Holyhead | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 15 | Gresford | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:30 | 1 |
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