Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Molde 2 vs Melhus

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
1 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gosik I.

AI Match Summary

Molde 2 host Melhus in the Division 3 - Group 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Molde 2 have averaged 2.66 scored and 3.1 conceded recently, against Melhus's 2.29 scored and 1.45 conceded. Past meetings favor Melhus slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.50 - 2.69) back Melhus to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Molde 2
15%
Draws
32%
Melhus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molde 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melhus come out ahead of Molde 2 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Molde 2 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Molde 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Melhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde 2 Melhus
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2.66 2.29
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Molde 2
3:0
Aug 25, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Melhus vs Molde 2
3:5
Apr 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Molde 2 vs Melhus
1:3
Oct 30, 2021 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Molde 2
0:0
Oct 31, 2020 Division 3 - Group 5
Melhus vs Molde 2
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molde 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gosik I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Melhus Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde 2 56 / 100
Melhus 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde 2 Melhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molde 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Molde 2 scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Melhus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Molde 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molde 2 VS Melhus
3.5 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde 2

(Home)
12 Sept
Ntnui
4 : 4
Molde 2
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
31 Aug
Spjelkavik
3 : 1
Molde 2
17 Aug
Molde 2
3 : 0
Rosenborg 2
09 Aug
Molde 2
6 : 3
FK Kvik
Page 1 of 6

Melhus

(Away)
12 Sept
Melhus
1 : 2
Volda
05 Sept
Herd
1 : 4
Melhus
30 Aug
Melhus
0 : 1
Strindheim
22 Aug
Melhus
0 : 3
Stjordals Blink
15 Aug
Nardo
1 : 3
Melhus
Page 1 of 7