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Stadium Background

Molde U19 vs Stromsgodset U19

Norway Norway

Nasjonal U19 CL 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Kaland T.
20' Event
Lacle K.
Own Goal
68' Event
Dyvik H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Molde U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Molde U19
15%
Draws
45%
Stromsgodset U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stromsgodset U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molde U19 come out ahead of Stromsgodset U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stromsgodset U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Molde U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Molde U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Molde U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Molde U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Stromsgodset U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde U19 Stromsgodset U19
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.59 2.65
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Stromsgodset U19 vs Molde U19
4:2
Aug 6, 2025 Nasjonal U19 CL
Molde U19 vs Stromsgodset U19
4:1
Nov 18, 2023 Nasjonal U19 CL
Stromsgodset U19 vs Molde U19
2:5
Oct 30, 2022 Nasjonal U19 CL
Molde U19 vs Stromsgodset U19
3:2
Oct 13, 2022 Nasjonal U19 CL
Stromsgodset U19 vs Molde U19
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molde U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gosik I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dyvik H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Stromsgodset U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andresen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde U19 10 / 100
Stromsgodset U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde U19 Stromsgodset U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stromsgodset U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Stromsgodset U19 conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Molde U19's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Molde U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Molde U19 VS Stromsgodset U19
3.5 Goals Scored 3.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde U19

(Home)
06 Aug
Rosenborg U19
5 : 2
Molde U19
30 Jul
Molde U19
0 : 1
Rosenborg U19
29 Apr
Molde U19
3 : 2
Moss U19
21 Mar
Molde U19
7 : 2
Rosenborg U19
15 Mar
Kongsvinger U19
1 : 3
Molde U19
Page 1 of 6

Stromsgodset U19

(Away)
05 Aug
Tromso U19
2 : 1
Stromsgodset U19
29 Jul
Stromsgodset U19
1 : 1
Tromso U19
29 Apr
Stromsgodset U19
6 : 2
Sandnes Ulf U19
15 Apr
Sandefjord U19
2 : 3
Stromsgodset U19
14 Mar
Stromsgodset U19
7 : 0
Sogndal U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Stromsgodset U19 5
Molde U19 6
Rosenborg U19 3
Start U19 1
Bodo/Glimt U19 1
Sogndal U19 2
Viking U19 7
Ham-Kam U19 4
Semi-finals
Molde U19 4
Rosenborg U19 3
Sogndal U19 0
Viking U19 5
Final
Molde U19 4
Viking U19 3