Sport Picks
Match Events
22'
22'
Granaas S.
33'
33'
Karlsbakk D.
Assist: Niyukuri C.
40'
40'
Hestad E.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eliteserien matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molde
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sarpsborg 08 haven't matched Molde's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Molde taking it.
- Regular Eliteserien form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Molde Clean Sheet 11%
Sarpsborg 08 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Molde | Sarpsborg 08 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 Eliteserien
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08
3:3
May 25, 2026 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Sarpsborg 08
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Eliteserien
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Molde Compare
Top Goalscorer Granaas S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hestad E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Sarpsborg 08 Compare
Top Goalscorer Karlsbakk D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nibe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Molde 83 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Molde Sarpsborg 08
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Molde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Molde scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Sarpsborg 08 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Molde remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Molde VS Sarpsborg 08
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Molde
(Home) 30 Aug
Valerenga
3 : 4 Molde
22 Aug
Midsund
0 : 11 Molde
16 Aug
Molde
3 : 2 Tromso
09 Aug
Kristiansund
2 : 1 Molde
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3 Sarpsborg 08
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16 Aug
Molde
3 : 2 Tromso
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3 Sarpsborg 08
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2 Brann
28 Jun
Molde
1 : 4 Bodo/Glimt
21 Jun
Molde
5 : 1 KFUM Oslo
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Sarpsborg 08
(Away) 30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
16 Aug
Sarpsborg 08
1 : 2 Sandefjord
08 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3 Sarpsborg 08
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30 Aug
Tromso
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2 Sarpsborg 08
08 Aug
Viking
2 : 1 Sarpsborg 08
02 Aug
Molde
3 : 3 Sarpsborg 08
18 Jul
Kristiansund
0 : 0 Sarpsborg 08
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 47:14 | 44 |
| 2 | Viking | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 42:18 | 43 |
| 3 | Tromso | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 34:20 | 35 |
| 4 | Molde | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 36:29 | 30 |
| 5 | Brann | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 26 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24:25 | 26 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 22:28 | 26 |
| 8 | Rosenborg | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27:26 | 24 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:23 | 23 |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 26:32 | 23 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 31:38 | 21 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:23 | 19 |
| 13 | KFUM Oslo | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:31 | 19 |
| 14 | Kristiansund | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 17:29 | 16 |
| 15 | Aalesund | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 28:43 | 15 |
| 16 | Start | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 20:39 | 13 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)
