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Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Betivu A.

AI Match Summary

Moldova U19 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moldova U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Moldova U19
30%
Draws
37%
Bulgaria U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bulgaria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Moldova U19 have won more games recently than Bulgaria U19.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Moldova U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Bulgaria U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova U19 Bulgaria U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
1:0
Oct 15, 2024 Friendly International
Bulgaria U19 vs Moldova U19
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Friendly International
Bulgaria U19 vs Moldova U19
4:1
Feb 1, 2021 Friendly International
Moldova U19 vs Bulgaria U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Betivu A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bulgaria U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova U19 41 / 100
Bulgaria U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova U19 Bulgaria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moldova U19's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bulgaria U19 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Moldova U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moldova U19 VS Bulgaria U19
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova U19

(Home)
29 Sept
Moldova U19
0 : 1
Cyprus U19
27 Sept
Moldova U19
2 : 1
Cyprus U19
31 Mar
Moldova U19
1 : 1
North Macedonia U19
28 Mar
Faroe Islands U19
0 : 2
Moldova U19
25 Mar
Netherlands U19
1 : 0
Moldova U19
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Bulgaria U19

(Away)
29 Sept
Bulgaria U19
0 : 1
Romania U19
26 Sept
Hungary U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
24 Sept
Serbia U19
1 : 1
Bulgaria U19
07 Jun
Bulgaria U19
3 : 0
Albania U19
04 Jun
Bulgaria U19
1 : 0
Albania U19
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