Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moldova U21 vs England U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Gittens J.
46'
Sub
David O. In: Pascaluta C.
Out: David O.
47'
Rotaru N.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Moldova U21 and England U21 finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward England U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Moldova U21
30%
Draws
43%
England U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: England U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • England U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans England U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and England U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 10%
England U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova U21 England U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 0.9 3
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21
England U21 vs Moldova U21
4:1
Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21
Moldova U21 vs England U21
0:4
Sep 9, 2014 Euro U21
Moldova U21 vs England U21
0:3
Sep 5, 2013 Euro U21
England U21 vs Moldova U21
1:0
Aug 15, 2006 Euro U21
England U21 vs Moldova U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

England U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gittens J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mubama D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova U21 10 / 100
England U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova U21 England U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Moldova U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Moldova U21 scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

England U21 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moldova U21 VS England U21
0.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
17 Nov
Kazakhstan U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
Page 1 of 6

England U21

(Away)
25 Sept
England U21
4 : 2
Kazakhstan U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
27 Mar
Andorra U21
1 : 1
England U21
18 Nov
Slovakia U21
0 : 4
England U21
14 Nov
England U21
2 : 0
Ireland U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 8 7 0 1 27:4 21
2 Finland U21 8 6 1 1 28:3 19
3 Romania U21 8 5 1 2 11:4 16
4 Kosovo U21 8 3 2 3 15:6 11
5 Cyprus U21 8 1 0 7 5:27 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 8 6 1 1 29:2 19
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 3 1 16:4 15
3 Bulgaria U21 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
4 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 8 1 4 3 6:19 7
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 7 5 2 0 22:5 17
2 Switzerland U21 8 5 2 1 15:5 17
3 Faroe Islands U21 8 4 0 4 8:14 12
4 Iceland U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
5 Luxembourg U21 7 1 1 5 7:19 4
6 Estonia U21 8 0 2 6 9:23 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 8 7 1 0 22:4 22
2 Slovakia U21 8 5 1 2 15:12 16
3 Ireland U21 8 4 2 2 9:10 14
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 8 1 1 6 6:14 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 8 7 0 1 26:4 21
2 Greece U21 8 7 0 1 24:4 21
3 Northern Ireland U21 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
4 Georgia U21 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
5 Latvia U21 8 1 2 5 4:16 5
6 Malta U21 8 0 0 8 1:32 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Turkey U21 7 3 3 1 9:8 12
3 Ukraine U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
4 Hungary U21 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 6 4 1 1 12:2 13
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 7 1 1 5 7:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)