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Moldova U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Rotaru N.
69' Event
Oudnie-Morgan R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Moldova U21 and Northern Ireland U21 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Moldova U21
20%
Draws
33%
Northern Ireland U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moldova U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Northern Ireland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Moldova U21's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Moldova U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Northern Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova U21 Northern Ireland U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 Friendly International
Moldova U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
1:1
Nov 20, 2007 Euro U21
Northern Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21
3:0
Jun 1, 2007 Euro U21
Moldova U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
0:1
Mar 29, 1999 Euro U21
Moldova U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
0:0
Nov 16, 1998 Euro U21
Northern Ireland U21 vs Moldova U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rotaru N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Northern Ireland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova U21 57 / 100
Northern Ireland U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova U21 Northern Ireland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Moldova U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Moldova U21 found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Moldova U21 VS Northern Ireland U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Kazakhstan U21
02 Oct
Andorra U21
0 : 0
Moldova U21
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
England U21
4 : 1
Moldova U21
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Northern Ireland U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
0 : 1
Greece U21
01 Oct
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 1
Georgia U21
26 Sept
Malta U21
0 : 4
Northern Ireland U21
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
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