Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moldova W vs Slovakia W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Bayerova K.
Assist: Surnovska M.
19'
Badiceanu M.
44'
Cojuhari V.

AI Match Summary

Slovakia W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Slovakia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Moldova W
30%
Draws
23%
Slovakia W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moldova W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Slovakia W lately — more wins on the board than Moldova W.
  • Moldova W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Slovakia W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Moldova W Clean Sheet 20%
Slovakia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova W Slovakia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 10 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 0.73 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Moldova W vs Slovakia W
0:2
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Slovakia W vs Moldova W
1:0
Dec 1, 2015 Euro Women
Moldova W vs Slovakia W
0:4
Oct 26, 2015 Euro Women
Slovakia W vs Moldova W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Slovakia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayerova K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rybanska N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova W 85 / 100
Slovakia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova W Slovakia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Slovakia W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Moldova W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Slovakia W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Moldova W VS Slovakia W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova W

(Home)
09 Jun
Cyprus W
0 : 2
Moldova W
05 Jun
Moldova W
0 : 0
Romania W
18 Apr
Greece W
1 : 1
Moldova W
14 Apr
Moldova W
0 : 0
Cyprus W
03 Mar
Romania W
1 : 0
Moldova W
Page 1 of 6

Slovakia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams