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Molfetta Calcio vs Cavese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Foggia C.
64' Event
Banegas P. E.
74' Event
Vivacqua F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Molfetta Calcio and Cavese finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cavese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Molfetta Calcio
15%
Draws
46%
Cavese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cavese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavese come out ahead of Molfetta Calcio on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cavese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 22%
Cavese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molfetta Calcio Cavese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Cavese
1:2
Oct 30, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs Molfetta Calcio
2:1
Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group H
Cavese vs Molfetta Calcio
4:1
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Cavese
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molfetta Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vivacqua F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cavese Compare

Top Goalscorer Foggia C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banegas P. E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molfetta Calcio 32 / 100
Cavese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molfetta Calcio Cavese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Molfetta Calcio scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Cavese let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Molfetta Calcio stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cavese
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Molfetta Calcio

(Home)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
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Cavese

(Away)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
26 Sept
Cavese
4 : 2
A.C. Savoia
20 Sept
Potenza
4 : 2
Cavese
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Cosenza
0 : 0
Cavese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)