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Molfetta Calcio vs Lavello

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Panebianco N.
36' Event
Coratella C.
66' Event
Panebianco N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 game between Molfetta Calcio and Lavello finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molfetta Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Molfetta Calcio
15%
Draws
28%
Lavello
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molfetta Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Molfetta Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Molfetta Calcio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Lavello Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molfetta Calcio Lavello
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.06 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Lavello
3:0
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Molfetta Calcio
1:1
Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Lavello
1:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Molfetta Calcio
1:1
Feb 20, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Lavello
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molfetta Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Panebianco N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coratella C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lavello Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molfetta Calcio 68 / 100
Lavello 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molfetta Calcio Lavello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molfetta Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavello let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Molfetta Calcio scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lavello registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molfetta Calcio VS Lavello
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Molfetta Calcio

(Home)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
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Lavello

(Away)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)