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Molfetta Calcio vs Nocerina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Vivacqua F.

AI Match Summary

Molfetta Calcio in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molfetta Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Molfetta Calcio
15%
Draws
51%
Nocerina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nocerina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nocerina have won more games recently than Molfetta Calcio.
  • Model gives Nocerina a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Molfetta Calcio Clean Sheet 27%
Nocerina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molfetta Calcio Nocerina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Nocerina
1:0
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Molfetta Calcio
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Nocerina vs Molfetta Calcio
2:0
Nov 7, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Molfetta Calcio vs Nocerina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molfetta Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Vivacqua F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Nocerina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molfetta Calcio 30 / 100
Nocerina 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molfetta Calcio Nocerina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nocerina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molfetta Calcio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Nocerina has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Molfetta Calcio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nocerina
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Molfetta Calcio

(Home)
10 Aug
Molfetta Calcio
2 : 1
Barletta
14 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
07 May
Molfetta Calcio
0 : 2
Afragolese
30 Apr
Altamura
2 : 1
Molfetta Calcio
23 Apr
Molfetta Calcio
1 : 0
Nocerina
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Nocerina

(Away)
07 Oct
Nocerina
1 : 2
Turris
04 Oct
Melfi
0 : 1
Nocerina
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 2
Ischia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)